Katie Stockton, founder of the technical research firm Fairlead Strategies, says $93,000 is the Bitcoin price level at which a new bull market becomes official. A rally of more than 50% off Bitcoin's recent lows, she notes, has already cleared several key technical hurdles along the way. The framing is characteristic of chart-based analysis, where specific price thresholds serve as checkpoints for confirming or refuting a trend rather than as forecasts in themselves.

In a video segment published by Bitcoin Magazine on September 26, 2026 (source), Stockton examined whether the Bitcoin bear market is officially over, walking through the technical signals behind the rebound. Among the milestones she highlighted: the cryptocurrency's break above its 200-day moving average, a long-term trend indicator closely watched by technical analysts because it smooths out short-term price noise and is widely used to gauge the dominant trend, and its push through the $83,000–$84,000 resistance zone, a band where sellers have historically clustered.

The decisive threshold, in her framework, sits higher. Stockton explained that her cloud model points to $93,000 as the level where a new Bitcoin bull cycle can be considered official. Cloud-based tools of this kind derive their thresholds directly from a chart's price structure, giving analysts a defined line between a rebound within a downtrend and the start of a new uptrend.

She also discussed the flag pattern breakout and the monthly stochastic oscillator, a momentum indicator used to gauge overbought and oversold conditions on longer timeframes, as supporting elements of her market analysis. Stockton additionally outlined the conditions that could lead her to turn defensive on Bitcoin heading into the fourth quarter. For observers tracking the call, the next checkpoints follow directly from her framework: whether price can reach the $93,000 level that would make the new bull market official, and whether the defensive conditions she described come into play.

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This article is based on a post that first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine, written by Patrick Green.