XRP price prediction odds on Kalshi point to a 23% chance that the asset will trade above $1.50 in 2026, up from 18% the day before. The move comes as XRP changes hands at about $1.00, according to CoinGecko.

That price is about 72.6% below XRP’s July 2025 all-time high of $3.65. The token’s market capitalization was roughly $62.8 billion, ranking it sixth among cryptocurrencies, while 24-hour trading volume stood at about $779 million across 152 exchanges and 470 markets tracked by the platform.

The $1 area remains a key reference point in recent XRP trading. The available evidence does not support a forecast of $2 or $0.50, but it does show a market focused on whether XRP can hold the $1 psychological level, with fund-flow data still subdued.

"Honestly this is the zone we shouldn’t be missing on $XRP . Daily candle is looking healthy right on the long term trendline with bullish RSI divergence showing up. I think taking some risk here makes sense. #DYOR pic.twitter.com/rpDF1IwysS" — Gerla (@CryptoGerla) August 17, 2026

XRP Price Prediction 2026: Kalshi Odds on Ripple Hitting $1.50 this Year Spike to 23%

Even with XRP sitting right at $1 and appearing close to losing that key support zone, Kalshi odds that Ripple will trade above $1.50 in 2026 rose overnight from 18% to 23%.

The renewed optimism among bettors does not have an obvious trigger, but it may reflect expectations that broader market conditions will improve toward the end of 2026, with XRP potentially rising alongside Bitcoin and the wider crypto market. For readers tracking the market, the practical takeaway is that the Kalshi shift is more a sentiment signal than a price confirmation, especially while XRP remains anchored near a level that has drawn repeated attention in recent trading.

In the same Kalshi market, 10% of bettors believe Ripple will reach $2.50 this year. That outcome would require several bullish catalysts to align, including peace in the Middle East and the CLARITY Act being signed into law.

( SOURCE: Kalshi )

XRP Price Levels and Recent ETF Flows Slowed in Early August

CoinGlass data show that U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded a net inflow of $2.25 million for the week ending August 14, down 93% from $14.86 million two weeks earlier. The report placed net assets at approximately $1.43 billion, compared with about $1.35 billion at the beginning of the month.

Phemex said the decline in net assets was driven mainly by XRP’s lower price during the week rather than by net fund redemptions, since the weekly flow total remained positive.

The previous week’s XRP ETF breakdown included a $3.58 million outflow on August 5, a $3.45 million inflow on August 6, and zero net flow on August 7, underscoring waning institutional attention to the asset.

CoinGecko’s August 17 data showed XRP trading near $1.00, with a 24-hour range of $0.9887 to $1.00 and a seven-day range of $0.9887 to $1.04. That followed an earlier period described by Phemex, during which XRP tested the $1 level.

Phemex reported that XRP touched $1.01 during the week ending August 8 and did not close a daily session below $1.00 during that reporting period. The outlet said $1.05 had been broken on August 6 and had not yet been reclaimed, while the next support zone would be near $0.92 to $0.95 if XRP closed below $1.00.

( SOURCE: CoinGlass )

The available data support a narrower conclusion than a long-range price prediction. XRP spot ETFs are trading on major U.S. exchanges, and recent cumulative ETF inflows were reported at nearly $1.51 billion, while the week ending August 8 saw a much smaller $1.01 million net inflow.

Price data also show XRP near $1.00 and below the $1.05 level highlighted in the early-August report. Whether fund flows strengthen or remain muted is a point to watch, but the evidence provided does not establish specific 2026 targets of $2, $0.50 or $10.

XRP’s price and ETF-flow data indicate a market concentrated around the $1 level. CoinGecko’s August 17 snapshot showed XRP at about $1.00, while Phemex’s report for the week ending August 8 showed positive but sharply reduced ETF inflows.

The reporting identifies $1.05 as a level not yet reclaimed and $1.00 as the key psychological area tested during that earlier week.

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