Wisconsin's goods exports have declined under both Trump 1.0 and Trump 2.0, according to an analysis published on Econbrowser.

The analysis, published September 3, 2026, tracks Wisconsin goods exports in millions of December 2010 dollars (mn.2010M12$). The figures are deflated using the US export price index excluding food and fuels, a method intended to strip out price changes so that movements reflect real volumes of goods shipped rather than shifts in export prices. The data sources for the analysis are the US Census Bureau, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), and the author's calculations.

Wisconsin's export performance carries particular weight for the state's economy because it is a manufacturing-intensive state, with major goods categories historically including industrial machinery, medical and scientific instruments, and agricultural products. Export flows have been a recurring policy focus during both Trump administrations, which imposed tariffs on trading partners and drew retaliatory measures affecting US goods. The Econbrowser analysis situates the state-level data within that broader tariff environment, offering a state-level lens on a debate that is usually conducted with national aggregate figures. Readers tracking the issue can watch subsequent quarterly and monthly Census trade releases for whether the trend identified in the analysis continues.

The original post, titled "Wisconsin Exports under Trump," is available at Econbrowser.