Econbrowser Reader Attributes Texas 'Blue Tsunami' to Repudiation of Trump, Abbott Policies and Paxton's 'Giant Flawed' Candidacy
Key Takeaways
- •A reader comment posted on the economics blog Econbrowser on election night of the November 3, 2026 U.S. midterms described Texas as having seen a 'blue tsunami,' calling the Texas Senate race the only contest that did not flip.
- •The commenter attributed the outcome above all to Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, while characterizing it as a repudiation of the policies of President Donald Trump and Governor Greg Abbott.
- •Paxton, the state's attorney general since 2015 who launched a Republican primary challenge against Senator John Cornyn in 2025, carried legal controversies including a 2015 securities fraud indictment and a 2023 Texas House impeachment that ended in Senate acquittal.
- •The commenter credited former U.S. Representative Beto O'Rourke, who lost the 2018 Senate race to Ted Cruz by 2.6 percentage points and the 2022 governor's race to Abbott, with giving Texas Democrats hope of winning.
- •No Democrat has won a statewide race in Texas since 1994 and the state last backed a Democratic presidential nominee, Jimmy Carter, in 1976, with final margins to be determined by official county canvasses and certification.

A reader comment posted on the economics blog Econbrowser on election night of the November 3, 2026 U.S. midterms described Texas as having seen a "blue tsunami," while calling the Texas Senate race "the only thing that did not flip." The comment appeared beneath a post tracking betting odds in the Maine Senate race, reflecting the growing attention prediction markets have drawn in recent U.S. election cycles alongside conventional polling.
The commenter wrote that they had "felt for a while that texas could vote blue with the right candidate," crediting former U.S. Representative Beto O'Rourke with providing that hope: "Beto gave us that hope, so thank you Beto." O'Rourke, who represented El Paso in the House from 2013 to 2019, previously lost the 2018 Senate race to Republican incumbent Ted Cruz by 2.6 percentage points and the 2022 governor's race to Abbott. They called the outcome "unprecedented" and characterized it as a repudiation of the policies of President Donald Trump and Texas Governor Greg Abbott, while attributing it above all to "one giant flawed candidate in Paxton" — Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton — whom they described as "the most morally corrupt politician I have ever seen," adding that "he brought the entire state to its knees." Paxton has served as the state's attorney general since 2015, launched a Republican primary challenge against incumbent Senator John Cornyn in 2025, and carried into the race a record of legal controversies, including a securities fraud indictment dating to 2015 and a 2023 impeachment by the Texas House that ended in acquittal by the Texas Senate.
The commenter said they hoped Texas Democrats "realize how this occurred in texas," cautioned that "I don't think you can count on a repeat of this event," and urged the party to "get your act together and start to govern effectively," warning that "you won't get another trump/paxton gift again in the near future." The "blue tsunami" framing carries particular weight in Texas, where no Democrat has won a statewide race since 1994 and where the state last backed a Democratic presidential nominee — Jimmy Carter — in 1976. Official county canvasses and certification by Texas election authorities will set the final margins behind the commenter's election-night characterization.