Palantir Rises 46% in August on Q2 Beat; Ethics Filings Show Trump Accounts Bought PLTR in June
Key Takeaways
- •Palantir’s second-quarter revenue rose 92.8% year over year to $1.94 billion, beating Wall Street estimates.
- •U.S. commercial revenue increased 149% to $764 million, highlighting the company’s expansion beyond government and defense work.
- •Earnings per share came in at $0.41, ahead of the $0.34 estimate and up from $0.16 a year earlier.
- •Management lifted its full-year 2026 outlook for revenue, operating income, and free cash flow after the results.
- •The stock has drawn analyst support, but it also trades at a high valuation and has seen notable insider selling and a renewed bearish position from Michael Burry.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has been one of the standout stories of the August trading month, with the stock up roughly 46% and about 43% since the company released its second-quarter earnings report on August 3. The stock opened at $179.94 on Friday, putting its market capitalization at $432.41 billion.
The rally has unfolded against a backdrop of stronger-than-expected quarterly numbers, a series of positive analyst actions, and newly disclosed purchases of the stock by Trump's investment accounts in June — alongside elevated valuation multiples, notable insider selling, and a renewed bearish options position from investor Michael Burry.
The move accelerated after the company dropped its Q2 earnings report on August 3. Revenue hit $1.94 billion, up 92.8% year over year, easily clearing the $1.81 billion consensus estimate. U.S. commercial revenue was the headline number, surging 149% to $764 million, while operating cash flow came in at $1.22 billion for the quarter. That segment draws outsized attention because Palantir built its business on data-analytics software for government and defense clients after its 2003 founding, making U.S. commercial growth the clearest read on how far the company has broadened into enterprise AI.
Earnings per share landed at $0.41, topping the $0.34 analyst estimate by $0.07 and well above the $0.16 the company posted for the same period a year earlier. Following the results, management raised its full-year 2026 outlook for revenue, operating income, and free cash flow. Record contract value pointed to continued demand across both commercial and government customers. The raised outlook puts the focus on the quarters ahead, where the key question is whether U.S. commercial growth can hold its triple-digit pace against tougher year-over-year comparisons.
Analyst Reaction
Bank of America's Mariana Perez Mora kept her Buy rating and holds a Street-high price target of $255. She cited strength in Palantir's U.S. commercial business and raised her 2026 and out-year estimates.
Phillip Securities analyst Alif Fahmi lifted his price target to $215 from $202 while maintaining a Buy rating, pointing to Palantir's Ontology and AIP tools as key drivers of enterprise AI adoption. AIP, Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform launched in 2023, is designed to let enterprises connect large language models to their own data and operational workflows.
Deutsche Bank moved its rating from Hold to Buy and set a $200 price target. Northland Securities also set a $200 target on August 4.
Across the board, Palantir currently holds a Moderate Buy consensus on Wall Street, built on 16 Buy ratings, four Holds, and two Sells. The average price target sits around $192 to $197, pointing to roughly 10% upside from current levels.
Risks Worth Watching
The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 112.2x against a sector median of 23.19x, while the trailing P/E sits even higher at 153.79. That kind of premium leaves little room for error if growth slows.
Insider selling has been heavy. Over the past three months, insiders offloaded $30.7 million worth of stock. Director Lauren Elaina Friedman Stat sold 3,032 PLTR shares on August 5 at $165.00 per share.
Michael Burry — best known for the wager against U.S. subprime mortgages ahead of the 2008 financial crisis, chronicled in 'The Big Short' — has renewed a bearish options position against the stock. He has also flagged risks around leverage and circular financing in the broader AI data center sector. Positions of this kind typically surface in quarterly 13F filings, which show holdings as of a single date, so current exposure may differ from what was disclosed.
Trump Accounts Bought PLTR in June
On a separate note, Trump's investment accounts purchased PLTR on June 3, June 23, and June 24, according to U.S. Office of Government Ethics filings. The June 3 purchase was valued between $1,001 and $15,000. The June 23 and June 24 purchases followed the June 14 U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Ethics filings of this kind report transaction values in broad ranges rather than exact dollar amounts, which is why the June 3 purchase spans $1,001 to $15,000.
Ownership and 52-Week Range
Institutional investors hold 45.65% of the company. Great Lakes Advisors LLC added a new stake of 61,137 PLTR shares in the second quarter, valued at roughly $7.13 million.
PLTR's 52-week range runs from $106.37 to a high of $207.52.
Source: CoinCentral