NewsMacroNewsom Concedes 'California Derangement Syndrome' Is Real but Won't Hide His 2028 Presidential Ambitions

Newsom Concedes 'California Derangement Syndrome' Is Real but Won't Hide His 2028 Presidential Ambitions

Author: Fortune Crypto·

Key Takeaways

  • •Gavin Newsom made his third trip of the midterm season to South Carolina, which will hold the Democratic Party's first 2028 presidential primary.
  • •Newsom said he may announce a presidential decision before the end of the year, noting that campaigns are already moving quickly.
  • •His main liability is his California identity, a state widely disliked across the political spectrum and one that has produced several failed White House contenders since Ronald Reagan.
  • •His likely rivals, including Pete Buttigieg of Michigan and Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania, come from battleground states and could claim stronger appeal to moderate voters.
  • •Newsom's stump speech centered on attacking Donald Trump over his business dealings, National Guard deployments, immigration enforcement, and election policies.
Newsom Concedes 'California Derangement Syndrome' Is Real but Won't Hide His 2028 Presidential Ambitions

Gavin Newsom's secret is no secret in South Carolina.

Vendors were selling "Gavin 2028" buttons outside his events this past week as he traveled across the state that will hold Democrats' first presidential primary. His allies — the state party chair, college presidents and pro-Newsom activists — all openly hinted at his national aspirations. And people close to him privately referred to a White House campaign as "the next thing."

Still, California's Democratic governor has barely begun to address what may be his biggest political liability as he stakes a claim as an early front-runner in the Democratic Party's 2028 shadow primary. That liability, South Carolina voters acknowledged this past week, is something he cannot change — his home state, California, is a symbol of modern-day liberalism that people across the political spectrum love to hate.

Vera DeVito, a 78-year-old Democrat who packed into one of Newsom's eight public events across South Carolina, said she didn't know much about him or his policies — except that he's from the Golden State. On that basis alone, she suggested that supporting Newsom could be "risky."

"It's going to be hard for him to appeal to the whole country," she said in the town of Summerville. "Everybody thinks California is different — especially in the South. They're not crazy about California."

Newsom's home state stands in stark contrast with likely primary competitors who hail from battlegrounds, such as Michigan's Pete Buttigieg and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro. Should they run — which is likely — all could credibly claim to be better positioned to win over the moderate and independent voters ultimately needed to capture the presidency.

Newsom's team acknowledges that "California derangement syndrome" is real. In the almost half-century since former California Gov. Ronald Reagan first won the presidency, the state has produced a long list of failed White House contenders, including Gov. Pete Wilson, Gov. Jerry Brown, businessman Tom Steyer and, most recently, Vice President Kamala Harris.

Despite that daunting history, Newsom is not hiding his interest in the presidency. In an interview, he left open the possibility of announcing his decision before the end of the year.

"It's the right question. Honestly, I don't know," Newsom told The Associated Press. "I think this thing's happening. I mean, you already feel it, right? There are folks out here — they're saying they're already starting to interview state directors. So this thing is going to happen very, very quickly."

Newsom's breakneck pace in South Carolina — which included a handful of private engagements in addition to his public events — mirrored or even exceeded that of a presidential campaign.

His visit was billed as part of his "take it back tour" across Deep South states, where he argues that President Donald Trump and his Republican allies are rolling back civil rights.

He opened the trip on Wednesday with one day in Alabama and finished on Saturday with two stops in North Carolina. But the overwhelming focus was South Carolina, which will host the Democratic Party's opening presidential primary contest in little more than a year. The state has held that leadoff role since the Democratic National Committee restructured its 2024 nominating calendar to put South Carolina ahead of Iowa and New Hampshire, a change President Joe Biden championed partly on the grounds that the state's more diverse electorate better reflects the party's base. It was Newsom's third trip to South Carolina this midterm season.

The voters who crowded into community halls, courthouses and a university lecture hall talked openly about Newsom's presidential ambitions, even as Democrats try to keep the focus on November's midterm elections.

"He has strong potential," said Kirk Bovill, a 65-year-old semi-retired actor and former Los Angeles resident who now lives in Summerville. "The question is how he's perceived outside of California. People might think he's too Hollywood."

"The one thing he does very well: He doesn't have a problem standing up to Trump," Bovill continued. "He's not intimidated."

Indeed, Newsom's message this past week was overwhelmingly focused on attacking Trump and rallying Democrats to stand up against him.

"We cannot do business as usual. We need to fight fire with fire," Newsom told roughly 150 people gathered inside a Lexington, S.C. community center on Friday. "We've got to meet this moment and recognize what we're up against. We're up against an invasive species in the name of Donald Trump."

At every stop, Newsom highlighted the hundreds of millions of dollars Trump and his family have made from cryptocurrency and other private business dealings since the 2024 election; Trump's decision to dispatch the National Guard to Los Angeles and other major U.S. cities; the federal immigration agents who have descended upon Los Angeles and other cities under Trump's direction; and Trump's push to disrupt the midterm elections, including his recent move to limit mail voting.

"Donald Trump is ruthless. He's ruthless. He's going to try to steal this election," Newsom charged. "He is not screwing around. Neither can we."

The White House did not respond to a request for comment.

Republican activists protesting outside some of Newsom's stops focused largely on his connection to California.

CJ Westfall, the Republican chairman of Dorchester County, described Newsom as "a far-left extreme Democrat who's probably the front-runner of this (presidential) race right now." He was surrounded by protesters waving signs that read, among other things, "Wrong Coast" and "Clean Up Your State First."

"We don't want Gavin Newsom to California our South Carolina," Westfall said.

Newsom's team acknowledges widespread dislike for California, even among some Democrats, but argues that the governor is gifted and experienced at fighting back against such criticism on the national stage. Newsom is a regular on Fox News, he debated Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and he was the most prominent national surrogate for former President Joe Biden's campaign.

Newsom acknowledged that California is both a political liability and "the greatest opportunity," because the California story has only been told on the national stage by "people that have 'California Derangement Syndrome.'" He said it would play far differently if he is able to reframe the conversation in 2028.

"In a Democratic primary, in particular — we've got the receipts, things that the party is arguing for, we've delivered across a spectrum of issues," he told AP.

Indeed, some of the achievements Republican critics attack him for are the same issues that might play well among Democratic base voters.

Under Newsom's leadership, California has enacted progressive priorities such as expanded healthcare coverage regardless of immigration status, expanded paid sick leave, universal free school meals, a $20 minimum wage for fast food workers, protections for women from other states seeking abortions, aggressive climate change and gun control laws, and a death penalty moratorium.

California also remains the nation's most populous state and the world's fourth-largest economy, even as critics decry the state's high taxes, which have pushed some businesses and residents to other states. The population has been growing since a COVID-era dip, however.

While South Carolina voters may have had mixed views on California, several said they were drawn in by Newsom's celebrity image. The 58-year-old Democrat certainly looked the part of a made-for-TV president as he charmed voters in his plain white dress shirt with his sleeves rolled up and no tie.

"We don't get that many famous people here in Aiken. He's pretty famous," said 73-year-old Monty Fetterolf, who attended one of Newsom's Friday events in Aiken, S.C.

DeVito, the 78-year-old Democrat from Summerville, said Newsom still has work to do.

"He's a little slick — not a lot of meat," she said after listening to his speech in Dorchester. "But he's good looking, which helps."

Source: Fortune