NewsStocksBiggest Earnings Week Ahead: Can Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon Turn the Nasdaq Tide?

Biggest Earnings Week Ahead: Can Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon Turn the Nasdaq Tide?

Author: ForexLive·

Key Takeaways

  • •The Nasdaq Composite trades near 26,022, below its 100-day moving average of 26,255, with its 200-day average sitting roughly 4.23% lower at 24,922.
  • •The Nasdaq 100 trades near 29,037 versus a 100-day moving average of 29,573, leaving its 200-day average about 4.14% below current prices.
  • •Microsoft and Alphabet report after Wednesday's close with focus on Azure growth, AI demand, search advertising and Google Cloud, while Amazon follows Thursday with attention on AWS, retail margins and investment spending.
  • •The earnings calendar runs Monday through Friday, ranging from Verizon and UPS to Caterpillar, Eli Lilly, Intel and energy majors including Exxon Mobil, Chevron and BP.
  • •Because Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon rank among the largest US-listed companies, their results and capital spending plans will serve as reference points for the technology sector's broader AI investment cycle.
Biggest Earnings Week Ahead: Can Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon Turn the Nasdaq Tide?

The busiest earnings week of the season arrives at a pivotal moment for the US stock market. The Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 are both trading below their respective 100-day moving averages, leaving sellers in firmer control from a technical standpoint. The upcoming calendar features reports from Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon alongside a broad mix of semiconductor, industrial, consumer and energy companies. The question is straightforward: can earnings and guidance give buyers a reason to step back in, or will the results open the door to another push lower?

The technical backdrop: buyers have work to do

The technology-heavy indices enter the week with their 100-day moving averages overhead and their 200-day moving averages looming below:

  • Nasdaq Composite: Trading near 26,022, below its 100-day moving average at 26,255. The 200-day moving average sits at 24,922, roughly 4.23% below the current price.
  • Nasdaq 100: Trading near 29,037, below its 100-day moving average at 29,573. Its 200-day moving average is at 27,836, about 4.14% below the current price.

For buyers, the first step is to reclaim those 100-day moving averages and hold above them. That would relieve some of the pressure and give traders a positive level to lean on. Without that, rallies risk remaining corrections within a broader bearish technical picture. Should selling continue, the 200-day moving averages become increasingly important downside references. They are not guaranteed destinations, but traders need to know where they stand.

Wednesday and Thursday bring the heavyweights

Wednesday after the close is the marquee event, with Microsoft and Alphabet reporting alongside ServiceNow, KLA and other widely followed names.

For Microsoft, attention will center on Azure cloud growth, demand for AI services, and whether the spending required to build that business is translating into revenue and profit. For Alphabet, traders will monitor search advertising, Google Cloud, and how AI is reshaping both the opportunity and the cost of doing business.

Amazon follows on Thursday after the close. AWS cloud growth, retail margins and the company's own investment spending will help shape the market's assessment of the technology outlook.

The stakes are amplified by scale: Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon rank among the largest US-listed companies, so their results and capital spending plans serve as reference points for the technology sector's broader AI investment cycle.

The common thread: investors want evidence that spending is producing results, along with guidance that supports further growth ahead.

The key releases for the week

Spanning semiconductors, industrials, healthcare, consumer, energy and financials, the calendar offers a cross-section of the economy rather than a technology-only slate.

Monday, October 26

  • Before the open: Verizon
  • After the close: Celestica, Cadence Design Systems, Rambus, Whirlpool

Celestica, Cadence, Rambus and Whirlpool open the week with a look across technology infrastructure and the semiconductor supply chain.

Tuesday, October 27

  • Before the open: SoFi, UPS, Coca-Cola, Corning, Freeport-McMoRan, PayPal, S&P Global
  • After the close: Robinhood, Seagate, Visa, Waste Management

UPS offers a read on shipping activity, while Visa and PayPal provide insight into payment volumes and consumer spending. Robinhood adds a window into retail trading activity.

Wednesday, October 28

  • Before the open: Amphenol, Boston Scientific, Vertiv, GE Vernova, UBS, ADP, Phillips 66
  • After the close: Microsoft, Alphabet, ServiceNow, KLA, Carvana, FedEx, Fortinet, T-Mobile, Chipotle

The busiest day of the week. Vertiv, Amphenol and GE Vernova put infrastructure and power demand in focus before the technology heavyweights report after the close, connecting the hardware and power side of the buildout behind cloud and AI services with the spending debate at the center of the evening's mega-cap reports.

Thursday, October 29

  • **Before the open Caterpillar, Carrier, Eli Lilly, Vulcan Materials, STMicroelectronics, L3Harris
  • After the close: Amazon, Intel, Sandisk, Roblox, Reddit, Twilio, Coinbase, Starbucks, Rivian

Caterpillar provides a window into equipment demand and business investment. After the close, Amazon leads a wide-ranging group spanning chips, consumer spending, digital advertising and cryptocurrency trading.

Friday, October 30

  • Before the open: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, BP, Regeneron, AstraZeneca, General Dynamics

Energy takes a prominent role to close the week, with traders watching production, margins, spending plans and management outlooks.

Watch the reaction as closely as the results

An earnings beat does not automatically send a stock higher. Expectations matter, guidance matters, and so does what has already been priced in — the technicals can offer clues on that front. If companies deliver strong numbers but their shares fail to rally, or an early rally fades quickly, it says something about the appetite to buy. Conversely, disappointing results followed by a recovery can signal that sellers had their chance and could not maintain control.

For the broader technology market, the technical roadmap is clear. Getting above the 100-day moving averages — and staying there — would improve the buyers' position. Remaining below leaves sellers with the advantage, with the 200-day moving averages waiting underneath.

The earnings will supply the headlines. The price action will reveal what traders think of them.

Source: ForexLive / InvestingLive