NewsCryptoAnalyst Flags Heavy Bitcoin Supply Concentration Between $76,000 and $82,000

Analyst Flags Heavy Bitcoin Supply Concentration Between $76,000 and $82,000

Author: Cryptofrontnews·

Key Takeaways

  • •Over 35% of Bitcoin's total supply was acquired at prices within or above the $76,000-$82,000 range, making it one of the strongest supply distribution clusters.
  • •Binance's open interest fell below its 180-day average during Bitcoin's sharpest deleveraging phase since 2023, yet still stands at roughly $9.6 billion, about 37% of total Bitcoin open interest.
  • •Spot exchange flows swung sharply in early September, with roughly $165 million in net inflows on Sept. 3 and about $220 million in outflows on Sept. 4.
  • •Bitcoin most recently traded near $78,400-$78,500, with $77,000 as the next downside level and $75,600 below that, while sustained inflows could support a return toward $80,000-$82,000.
  • •Traders have already re-entered the market after the correction, lifting futures activity while leverage remains elevated.
Analyst Flags Heavy Bitcoin Supply Concentration Between $76,000 and $82,000

Bitcoin is confronting a dense supply zone between $76,000 and $82,000 as traders weigh the cryptocurrency's next move, analyst Darkfost reported. More than 35% of Bitcoin's total supply was accumulated at prices within or above that range. At the same time, the market has gone through its sharpest deleveraging phase since 2023.

Such supply concentration matters because large clusters of coins acquired at a given price level tend to mark areas where holders are sensitive to price: cost-basis zones are commonly watched in on-chain analysis as reference points for where selling or holding behavior may intensify, which is why the $76,000-$82,000 band frames much of the current debate among traders.

Bitcoin Supply Meets Heavy Trading Activity

Darkfost identified the $76,000-$82,000 range as one of Bitcoin's strongest supply distribution clusters. Sustained contention around the $80,000 level has kept price locked inside a broad band of concentrated supply.

Bitcoin most recently changed hands near $78,400-$78,500, having slipped from the $81,000-$82,000 area. The spot market also saw large swings in exchange flows during early September.

On Sept. 3, net inflows reached roughly $165 million, and Bitcoin recovered from around $79,000 to above $81,000 during that move. The following day, however, brought an outflow near $220 million, and Bitcoin reversed back toward the $77,000-$78,000 region. Exchange-flow data of this kind is a standard gauge of spot-market activity, since coins moving onto exchanges are often associated with potential selling, while withdrawals are typically read as coins moving to custody.

Binance Open Interest Falls After Deleveraging

The sharp market adjustment also weighed on Bitcoin futures positioning. Binance's open interest dropped below its 180-day average during the deleveraging phase, a move Darkfost characterized as Bitcoin's sharpest deleveraging since 2023. The correction forced traders to close or liquidate positions after leverage had built up. Deleveraging phases of this kind, in which leveraged futures positions are forcibly reduced, have historically accompanied broad market corrections in crypto, including the drawdowns of 2022 and the episode around the collapse of the FTX exchange that November.

Even after the decline, Binance still held approximately $9.6 billion in open interest, compared with a 180-day average near $8.3 billion. That figure represents roughly 37% of Bitcoin's total open interest and exceeds the level recorded during May's recovery toward $82,000. Binance remains the largest venue for Bitcoin futures by open interest, which makes its positioning data a widely followed proxy for leverage across the wider market.

Darkfost noted that traders had already returned to the market after the correction. That return has lifted futures activity while leverage remains elevated.

Spot Flows Remain Mixed Around $78K

Spot exchange flows grew quieter from Sept. 5 onward. Most hourly readings stayed close to zero, although several negative spikes appeared around Sept. 7-8, with outflows reaching roughly $60 million to $80 million. Over the same period, Bitcoin slid from around $80,000 toward $78,400.

According to the levels cited, $77,000 stands as the next downside area, and a deeper decline could bring $75,600 into focus. On the other side, sustained inflows could support a move back toward $80,000-$82,000. The $76,000-$82,000 supply cluster remains the central price range that traders will continue to watch, alongside futures positioning on Binance and hourly exchange flows, as indicators of whether spot demand or further deleveraging sets the tone.