Glassnode: Bitcoin Now Outperforms the S&P 500 on More Than Half of Trading Days
Key Takeaways
- •Glassnode's analysis shows Bitcoin now outperforms the S&P 500 on more than 50% of trading days, recovering from a weak stretch earlier in the year.
- •In June, Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 on only about one in five trading days, its weakest relative showing in six years.
- •Readings above the 50% threshold suggest crypto-specific demand, described by Glassnode as an idiosyncratic bid, is driving Bitcoin's performance rather than broad equity market moves.
- •Glassnode attributes the renewed strength to broader economic dynamics and shifting narratives around fiscal policy, and sees potential for further momentum in the crypto sector as macro conditions evolve.
- •Whether the outperformance rate stays above 50% is expected to remain a key input for assessing Bitcoin's correlation with traditional assets such as the S&P 500.

Bitcoin's relative strength against the S&P 500 has rebounded markedly, according to a recent analysis published by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode via its official X account (@glassnode). The firm's data shows that Bitcoin now outperforms the S&P 500 on more than 50% of trading days, marking a recovery from a weak stretch earlier in the year. The improvement reflects growing interest in Bitcoin as macroeconomic factors continue to shape the market.
The Story So Far
Glassnode's analysis points to a significant recovery in Bitcoin's relative strength, which now exceeds the 50% threshold against the S&P 500. The reading represents a sharp turnaround from June, when Bitcoin outperformed the index on only one in five trading days — its weakest relative in six years.
The share of outperforming days is a widely followed gauge of whether Bitcoin is trading as its own asset class or in step with broad risk sentiment. Readings below 50% mean equities are setting the tone on most sessions, while a sustained move above the threshold points to crypto-specific demand doing more of the work — the very pattern Glassnode describes as a growing idiosyncratic bid, meaning demand rooted in Bitcoin's own dynamics rather than broad market moves. The firm attributes this to broader economic dynamics and shifting narratives around fiscal policy, and indicated that as macroeconomic factors evolve, this renewed strength could contribute to further momentum in the cryptocurrency sector.
About Glassnode
Glassnode is a prominent analytics platform focused on on-chain data for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. The firm examines a range of metrics to provide insight into market behavior and trends, making it a widely used resource among traders and analysts. Its standing in the field stems from its expertise in interpreting on-chain data to gauge market sentiment and performance.
Levels in Focus
Whether Bitcoin can sustain its upward trajectory in relative strength remains a focal point as macroeconomic conditions continue to develop. According to the analysis, increased interest may support further price stabilization and could prompt shifts in trading strategies among investors. Future updates to this metric from Glassnode — particularly whether the outperformance rate holds above 50% as fiscal and macro narratives evolve — are expected to remain a key input for assessing Bitcoin's correlation with traditional assets such as the S&P 500, which is central to reading market sentiment.