Bond bears push 10-year yield above 4.75% to 4.80%
Key Takeaways
- •The 10-year Treasury yield advanced to 4.80%, the highest level since January 2025.
- •The move followed a rise in crude oil above $90, which increased inflation concerns.
- •The yield broke above the 4.60% to 4.75% range that had contained trading since July 21.
- •A drop back below 4.75% would weaken the bullish case for higher yields.
- •If the yield remains above 4.75%, the chart points toward 5.00% as the next major level.
Bond bears push 10-year yield above 4.75% to 4.80%
Bonds
Next stop? 5.00% for the 10-year yield.
As crude oil rises above $90, reaching $90.60, concerns about higher inflation have helped push the 10-year yield higher. The move comes as a result of a persistent and consistent war that will never end, according to the source, and the yield has extended to 4.80% for the first time since January 2025. That is just short of the January 2025 high at 4.823%. A move above 4.823% would put 5% in sight for the 10-year yield.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, the 10-year yield has broken above the 4.60%–4.75% consolidation range that had contained trading since July 21. The bond bears are taking control, and higher yields mean lower bond prices. For markets more broadly, a rising 10-year yield can matter because it feeds into borrowing costs and is closely watched across rates, equities, and currency trading.
The key level now is 4.75%. A move back below that breakout level would disappoint the bond bears and raise questions about the momentum. If the yield stays above that level, the chart points toward 5% as the next major stop. Traders will also be watching whether oil remains elevated, since the latest move in yields is unfolding alongside renewed inflation concerns.
Hop aboard the Bond Bear Train. It’s pulling out of consolidation station and gaining momentum.
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All aboard!. The Bond Bears take the 10 year yield above 4.75% and up to 4.80%
Why Bond Yields Are Rising: A Guide for Investors
Here we go again. Trump says "Iran will be totally wiped out as a country". Crude oil trades at $90.50
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