XRP Price Rejects $1.16 Again as Traders Watch Rising Support
Key Takeaways
- •XRP experienced its third rejection at the daily 50 EMA near the $1.16 resistance level within two months, pushing the price back to around $1.10.
- •The token is currently testing an ascending support trendline from late June, with a breakdown potentially leading to lows of $1.06 or $1.00.
- •The daily Stochastic RSI indicates that short-term momentum is diminishing following a reversal near overbought territory.
- •XRP spot ETFs maintain robust institutional interest, reporting approximately $1.01 billion in total assets and $12.43 million in monthly net inflows.
- •Long-term price projections target the $1.9766 level, although this depends on XRP successfully clearing nearby resistance and consolidating above $1.25.

Key Insights
- XRP price has rejected the daily 50 EMA three times in less than two months.
- The token’s ascending support near $1.10 currently safeguards the short-term recovery structure.
- XRP spot ETFs report $1.01 billion in assets alongside $12.43 million in monthly inflows.
XRP has returned to the $1.10 region following another unsuccessful attempt to break past the daily 50 EMA. The rejection occurred near $1.16, a level where sellers have consistently halted recovery efforts since June.
The subsequent pullback places upward-trending support under pressure. Buyers must maintain the existing structure before making another attempt at $1.16. Concurrently, consistent ETF inflows offer a more robust institutional foundation than price movements alone indicate.
XRP Price Returns to Rising Support
XRP is trading around $1.10 after dropping approximately 2.6% in the latest session. Crypto analyst ChartNerd noted that the token's price rejected the daily 50 EMA for the third time in under two months. The 50-day exponential moving average is widely tracked as a medium-term trend gauge; repeated rejections at this line typically signal that buyers have not yet mustered enough conviction to shift the near-term trend.
This most recent rejection took place around the $1.1622 resistance block. That specific area has restricted multiple upward advances, establishing it as the primary threshold buyers must recover before any sustained upward movement.
However, XRP is nearing an ascending trendline that has maintained higher lows since late June. Preserving that trendline would keep the developing structure intact and enable another push toward $1.16. Conversely, an XRP break below this support would compromise the pattern. If that occurs, traders might look to the early July bottoms around $1.06, followed by the psychological threshold of $1.00.
XRP Stochastic RSI Warns of Cooling Momentum
ChartNerd also observed that the daily Stochastic RSI indicated another rejection near overbought conditions. Comparable signals materialized prior to XRP forming local peaks in July.
The initial overbought reversal preceded a loss of momentum following a rally early in the month. A subsequent signal emerged as XRP advanced toward $1.30, having started that trajectory near $1.00. The most recent crossover happened as the price tested $1.16. The faster-moving line has since declined, indicating that short-term momentum is diminishing while XRP remains below resistance.
ETF Inflows Support Institutional Demand
XRP spot ETFs have experienced positive monthly flows in almost every month since their debut in November 2025. Shared data reveals only one month of outflows during this timeframe.
Current monthly net inflows are at approximately $12.43 million, with total net assets hovering around $1.01 billion. XRP was trading near $1.10 when these latest metrics were documented.
The most substantial inflows occurred during the initial two months, contributing roughly $670 million and $500 million respectively. Subsequent monthly volumes were smaller, though most maintained positive territory despite a broader price decline.
XRP Crypto Structure Keeps Higher Levels Open
Crypto analyst and investor Jordan pointed out that XRP’s monthly upward trend remains unbroken. The long-term configuration shows the price staying above a rising trendline that has directed the overarching structure since 2020.
The next major recovery level is located near $1.9766, corresponding to the monthly close from 2017. Reclaiming that zone would enhance the macroeconomic setup and bring the previous all-time high of roughly $3.6403 back into focus. Jordan anticipates the forthcoming expansion phase will mirror the previous cycle and push into double digits. This projection remains speculative until XRP successfully clears nearby resistance and consolidates strength above $1.25.