Ripple (XRP) is trading near $1.36 after bouncing off an intraday low of $1.31 on September 3. The rebound has stalled beneath the $1.45 resistance, leaving traders with a key question: can enough demand return to clear that level, or does seller pressure push the price back toward support near $1.337?

The $XRP correction following the last rally concluded at the Fibonacci retracement 0.5 level. It has currently broken through the 0.618 line following the rebound. This rally is likely to reach to $2.135, which is the Fibonacci 1.618 level. pic.twitter.com/Sal4jfTdJL — CW (@CW8900) September 4, 2026

https://x.com/CW8900/status/2095791099227103312?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

These Fibonacci references trace how traders map potential reversal and extension zones off the August swing: the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement lines mark where pullbacks often find buyers, while the 1.618 extension is a commonly watched upside target once a new leg begins.

The $1.45 Resistance Line and the $1.337 Point of Control

XRP peaked near $1.52 on August 23 before retreating into the mid-$1.30 range, a pullback that followed one of the token's sharpest rally phases of the year. Data shows closes clustering between roughly $1.42 and $1.48 from August 24 through August 27, turning $1.45 into a decisive technical battleground. The Point of Control referenced here is a volume-profile measure — the price level where the most trading volume has historically changed hands — which is why traders treat it as meaningful support.

Trader CW flagged $1.45 as the main resistance line in a September 3 post, placing the current Point of Control near $1.337 and describing that zone as strong support. His reading suggests a confirmed close above $1.45 would tilt XRP's prevailing structure toward bullish territory, while the latest 24-hour range between $1.31 and $1.38 shows sellers have so far capped every attempt at follow-through.

Binance CVD Stays Negative Despite Rising Correlation

CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain measured XRP's 30-day price-to-CVD correlation at roughly 0.43, a moderate positive relationship between price and order flow. Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) tracks the net difference between aggressive buy and sell orders — when takers are lifting asks versus hitting bids — making it a widely used gauge of who is driving the market at any moment. Here, Binance CVD itself remains near negative 8 million, meaning aggressive selling continues to outweigh aggressive buying on the exchange even as the price stabilizes.

Binance handled about $163.3 million in XRP/USDT volume during the measured period, roughly 5.6% of tracked XRP turnover. CryptoQuant classifies negative and falling taker CVD as a seller-dominant phase, so the recovery still lacks full order-flow confirmation — a shift above zero would be the clearer signal that demand is genuinely returning.

If XRP Clears $1.45, Momentum Could Return

A confirmed break above $1.45 on rising volume would improve the near-term structure and open a path back toward the $1.52 August high. That technical case is supported by a broader adoption narrative: Ripple announced investments in ZILO and Licuido on August 3 to expand regulated transfer-agency infrastructure on the XRP Ledger, while Aviva Investors launched a tokenized U.S. dollar liquidity fund share class on the same network in July.

Those developments will not move the price on their own, but they reinforce the idea that XRPL demand extends beyond spot trading — a backdrop that matters if institutional inflows resume. Tokenization of funds and transfer-agent rails on public ledgers has been a growing focus among traditional asset managers, and XRP Ledger is one of several networks competing for that institutional infrastructure role.

A Break Below $1.337 Would Reopen August Lows

Losing the $1.337 Point of Control would weaken the current rebound and reopen the lower levels tested earlier in August. That risk is compounded by fresh weakness in XRP ETF flows: SoSoValue data showed U.S.-listed spot XRP ETFs posting $7.2 million in net outflows on Wednesday, ending an 11-session streak that had pulled in roughly $170 million. Spot XRP ETFs, approved for U.S. listing in 2025, give traditional investors direct price exposure to the token, so their flow data has become a closely watched demand indicator for the market.

Cumulative inflows still stand near $1.68 billion, so a single outflow session does not confirm a trend, but it removes a source of spot-linked demand right as XRP ETF inflow momentum had been building. Combined with negative Binance CVD, the setup keeps sellers in a position to defend $1.45 until buyers prove otherwise.

The next price pivot stays fixed on that resistance-support pair: a confirmed close above $1.45 improves the technical picture, while failure there alongside persistently negative CVD keeps selling pressure in control, according to CryptoRank ().

Source: https://icobench.com/news/xrp-price-prediction-145-breakout/