XRP heads into November with a historical track record that appears split against itself, according to a COINOTAG analysis published on October 31, 2026.

Monthly return data for the token going back to 2013 show an average November gain of +80.2%. The median November return, by contrast, stands at negative 10%, meaning the midpoint of the token's recorded November outcomes sits far below its arithmetic mean.

The divergence between the two figures reflects a well-known property of return data: an average can be pulled well above the median when a small number of unusually strong observations weigh on the calculation, while the median registers the middle outcome regardless of how extreme those outliers are. In XRP's case, that means the headline +80.2% average has coexisted with a typical November that has been negative.

COINOTAG characterizes the roughly 90-percentage-point distance between those two figures as the single most consequential statistic for XRP holders entering the month. The gap matters because it determines which number better describes the token's usual November: the large average is shaped by a limited set of exceptional years, while the median represents the outcome that has been more representative across the record going back to 2013.

As with any historical statistic, the figures describe what has happened rather than what will. The data points to a wide spread of November outcomes, and on its own it does not indicate where any single month will fall within that spread. When November closes, the 2013-onward sample will contain one more data point to set against the +80.2% average and the -10% median.

The article was first published on COINOTAG: XRP's November +80.2% Average Meets a -10% Median.