XRP ($XRP) may be trading below $1, but analyst Javon Marks argues that the token's long-term technical structure still points to a measured-move target above $15 — with a more precise projection of around $17.

The forecast arrives as $XRP sits near the lower end of its recent range, with the cryptocurrency facing renewed bearish sentiment following a prolonged decline from its 2025 peak. $XRP is the native asset of the XRP Ledger, a payments-focused blockchain that has operated since 2012, and the token remains one of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

A Long-Term Projection Near $17

In his post, Marks said $XRP's long-term technical target sits above $15, with $17 serving as a more specific projection. A measured move is a classic charting technique in which an analyst projects the length of a previous price leg onto a subsequent one, effectively mapping a repeat of a prior advance onto the current structure. According to the analyst, the token is approaching another important juncture following its strong breakout in late 2024.

Before that breakout, $XRP had been stuck around the $0.50 range until things changed for good in November 2024. During that month, $XRP broke above $1 for the first time since 2021, and by December 2024 it had climbed to $2 — a level last reached in 2018. The momentum then carried the token to $3 by January 2025.

The rally culminated in a move to $3.66 in mid-2025, a fresh all-time high that surpassed the roughly $3.40 peak of the token's 2017–2018 cycle, after which the price entered a sustained decline and has now fallen back below $1. Against that backdrop, Marks sees the setup for another massive price explosion. He said that if $XRP breaks upward again, it could potentially gain more than 1,350% from the levels he highlighted.

Such a move would not be straightforward, however. $XRP would first need to break through several resistance levels — including the psychological barriers at $2 and $3 — and maintain a strong upward trend. The $17 target, therefore, remains a technical prediction and not a guaranteed price.

Trading 73% Below Its 2025 Peak

Current market performance remains far removed from the bullish scenario Marks has outlined. According to CoinMarketCap data, $XRP was trading at approximately $0.9945 at press time, down 1.10% over the past week and 9.13% over the past month. The token is also down roughly 46% year-to-date.

More significantly, the coin sits about 73% below its July 2025 all-time high of $3.66 — a contrast that highlights the scale of the recovery $XRP would need in order to reach the projected $15–$17 region. The gap also illustrates the distance between spot and target: $17 sits well above the token's $3.66 record and implies a gain of roughly 17 times the current price.

ChartNerd Says the Falling-Wedge Pattern Is Working Out

Another analyst, ChartNerd, is also bullish on $XRP's long-term outlook. He says the token is following a falling-wedge pattern, which suggests that a major price reversal could occur. A falling wedge forms when price prints lower highs and lower lows between two converging, downward-sloping trendlines, and it is traditionally read by technicians as a bullish reversal formation once price breaks above the upper boundary.

In ChartNerd's view, $XRP's ongoing decline is a temporary reset. He believes the coin is moving back into its previous “triangle” pattern, a structure that could set the stage for another major rally.

ChartNerd also pointed to how quickly investor sentiment has changed. When $XRP traded around $3.60, many people wished they had bought it below $1. Now that the token is back near $1, investors have become far more negative and skeptical.

Taken together, both analysts see $XRP's current weakness eventually leading to another major rally. Marks holds a long-term target of around $17, while ChartNerd believes $XRP could dip to $0.70 but expects a double-digit price target in the next bull cycle. For readers tracking the setup, the levels both analysts themselves flagged — a possible dip toward $0.70 on the downside and the $2–$3 resistance band on the upside — are the reference points their scenarios hinge on.