Stellar (XLM) is displaying a constructive technical structure as buyers defend higher lows and momentum improves. A sustained breakout could strengthen the bullish outlook for the XLM price, with technical indicators and rising market participation supporting further upside. Meanwhile, strong network activity continues to highlight demand for Stellar's payment infrastructure.

Stellar, launched in 2014, is a blockchain built for cross-border payments and asset transfers, and it has historically pursued partnerships with financial institutions and payment processors to move value cheaply and quickly. That focus helps explain why transaction throughput is watched closely as a measure of real usage rather than pure price speculation.

At the time of writing, XLM is trading at $0.1917, with a 24-hour trading volume of $220.57 billion and a market capitalization of $6.67 billion. The Stellar price has gained 4.57% over the last 24 hours (CoinMarketCap).

XLM Price Targets $0.681 as Higher Lows Hold

Crypto analyst JAVON MARKS noted that the XLM price continues to display a constructive technical structure, with higher lows signaling that buyers are defending key areas and gradually strengthening market support. This pattern suggests the token may be building a solid base before another upward expansion. Traders are watching the $0.681 resistance closely, as a confirmed breakout could significantly strengthen the bullish outlook (source: JAVON MARKS' X post).

If XLM clears the $0.681 breakout level with strong buying pressure, the cryptocurrency could enter an extended continuation phase. According to the analyst's projection, this move could potentially exceed 180% from the breakout setup. However, the target remains speculative and depends on sustained momentum, confirmation above resistance, and broader market conditions supporting further upside. It is worth noting that the $0.681 level sits far above current prices, so such projections rely on technical patterns that have not yet been validated by a breakout.

XLM Technicals Point to Bullish Recovery

TradingView chart analysis shows the XLM price made a dramatic mid-August surge from $0.1500 to over $0.2100, followed by a pullback. After forming a local peak, the price stabilized around $0.1700 above the 200 EMA. Recent buying momentum has lifted XLM back to $0.19143, breaking above the 20, 50, and 100 short-term moving averages (TradingView).

Technical indicators suggest the short-term upward trend may continue. The 20 EMA is trading above the other EMAs at $0.18550, while the RSI sits at 66.60. With RSI still under the overbought threshold of 70, XLM might attempt to test the $0.2000 resistance level.

XLM Activity Surges With Open Interest and Volume

Coinglass data shows XLM has displayed signs of greater market action, with trading volume rising 48.38% to $200.68 million and open interest climbing 9.06% to $199.56 million (Coinglass). Rising open interest means more capital is committed in unsettled derivatives positions, which often accompanies directional conviction among leveraged traders, though it does not by itself indicate direction. Together, these figures could indicate that traders are becoming more involved in the market, which might precede another price move.

Alongside bullish price predictions and improving technicals and derivatives metrics, the XLM price is trending upward. The move is also supported by the broader crypto market recovery, as the BTC price has started moving upward.

Stellar Processes 11.6M Transactions in One Day

Data from Chainspect highlighted very high levels of activity on the Stellar network over the weekend, with more than 11.6 million transactions processed on Sunday — the highest transaction volume recorded on the blockchain during the week. The elevated activity shows the network remains highly active even as other markets lie dormant (source: Chainspect's X post).

The development also reaffirms Stellar's commitment to global payments and financial infrastructure that operates around the clock. Traditional systems function according to business hours, whereas blockchain networks can process transactions continuously regardless of regional differences. Continuous throughput may therefore remain a key metric in measuring the success of Stellar adoption.

What Comes Next?

The next step for the XLM price will be determined by buyers' ability to hold important support levels and break through the $0.20 resistance. A successful breach of this level could strengthen the buying trend and open a path toward $0.681. Otherwise, a consolidation or retracement pattern may follow. Beyond price, watchers of the asset can also track whether the elevated on-chain transaction counts and derivatives engagement persist, as sustained activity would provide ongoing context for the technical picture.

This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.