NewsStocksSkydance (SKYD) Stock Falls 24% to $7.06 as Warrant Dividend Goes Ex-Dividend

Skydance (SKYD) Stock Falls 24% to $7.06 as Warrant Dividend Goes Ex-Dividend

Author: Coincentral·

Key Takeaways

  • •Skydance stock fell 24% to $7.06 on Wednesday, with intraday losses reaching 29% near $6.80 and trading volume of 92.5 million shares far exceeding the 19.7 million average.
  • •The decline resulted from a mechanical ex-dividend adjustment after Skydance issued 470.7 million warrants to Class B holders of record as of Oct. 5, not from any deterioration in operations.
  • •Each warrant permits the purchase of one Class B share at $12 for up to 10 years, trades separately as SKYDWSWI, and carries a combined value of roughly $1.1 billion at $2.39 apiece.
  • •Discovery+ prices rose to $6.99 for the ad-supported plan and $11.99 for the ad-free plan just a week after the merger closed, with existing subscribers receiving 30 days' notice before the change takes effect.
  • •Skydance carries $78.9 billion in pro forma net debt, and analysts maintain a consensus Hold rating with an average price target of $10.21, implying about 49% upside.
Skydance (SKYD) Stock Falls 24% to $7.06 as Warrant Dividend Goes Ex-Dividend

Skydance (SKYD) stock fell 24% on Wednesday, sliding to $7.06 in a decline of $2.21. At its low, the shares were down as much as 29%, at one point trading near $6.80, and the slide erased as much as $2.19 billion in market value at the bottom of the session. Volume reached 92.5 million shares, well above the 19.7 million average.

Despite the scale of the decline, the move stemmed from a routine corporate action rather than any deterioration in the underlying business. The main cause was a warrant dividend that went ex-dividend on Wednesday — a mechanical adjustment to the share structure rather than an operational setback. An ex-dividend date marks the cutoff after which newly purchased shares no longer carry the right to a declared distribution. For scale, the $2.21 per-share decline sits close to the $2.39 apiece value carried by the warrants themselves.

The Warrant Dividend, Explained

On Tuesday, Skydance distributed 470.7 million warrants to Class B holders of record as of Oct. 5, with each holder receiving one warrant for every Class B share owned. Class B stock is one tier of the company's multi-class share structure. The Ellison family, RedBird Capital and a few other controlling holders were excluded and received no warrants.

Each warrant entitles its owner to buy one Class B share at $12 for up to 10 years. The board may lower that exercise price or increase the number of shares each warrant buys, but it cannot raise the price. The warrants trade separately under the ticker SKYDWSWI, and at $2.39 apiece the distribution is worth about $1.1 billion combined.

Because Wednesday was the ex-dividend date, buyers of the stock that day no longer receive the warrants, which is why the shares repriced lower. From its level near $6.80, the stock would need to climb 77% to reach the $12 exercise price.

Skydance also carries $78.9 billion of pro forma net debt — a figure that measures the combined company's borrowings minus cash, calculated as if the merger had already closed — a load that predates Wednesday's trading.

Discovery+ Prices Go Up

Skydance also raised prices on Discovery+ only a week after its merger closed. The ad-supported plan rises from $5.99 to $6.99 a month, while the ad-free plan goes from $9.99 to $11.99 a month. New subscribers pay the new rates now, while current subscribers get 30 days' notice before the change hits their next bill. A source familiar with the situation said Warner had planned the increase before the merger closed.

Skydance plans to fold HBO Max and Paramount+ into a single service, with Discovery+ the first property to see a price change. Ynon Kreiz, the former Mattel CEO, is now co-CEO, and some critics have questioned his record after Matchbox: The Movie, which one report called one of the year's worst.

Market and Analyst Context

SKYD is down about 48% over the past year, and its 52-week range runs from $6.63 to $17.43. Wednesday's slide left the shares trading near the bottom of that range. Analysts rate Skydance a Hold, with three Buy, five Hold and four Sell ratings issued over the past three months. The average price target is $10.21, which implies 49% upside.

Source: CoinCentral