Shiba Inu Breakout Above Descending Trendline as On-Chain and Derivatives Data Signal Building Momentum
Key Takeaways
- •SHIB broke above a descending trendline that had constrained its price action since mid-May.
- •CryptoQuant data shows SHIB has posted five consecutive days of exchange net outflows since July 17.
- •CoinGlass reports SHIB’s long-to-short ratio at 1.02, with funding rates remaining positive since July 17.
- •The next daily resistance level is near $0.0000045, while $0.0000040 is a key support level.
- •Momentum indicators have improved, with the RSI rising to 45 and the MACD producing a bullish crossover.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has re-entered the market spotlight after breaking above a descending trendline that had constrained its price action since mid-May. The meme coin pushed past $0.0000042 following the breakout, a move that has drawn renewed attention from traders. Beyond the price chart, on-chain metrics and derivatives activity have also shown signs of improving investor confidence.
For meme coins such as SHIB, technical levels often receive close attention because market activity can be heavily influenced by trader positioning, liquidity conditions, and broader risk appetite across crypto assets. That makes confirmation from on-chain flows and derivatives positioning especially relevant when assessing whether a breakout is being supported by more than short-term chart momentum.
Exchange Outflows Signal Easing Selling Pressure
Recent on-chain data indicates that selling pressure on SHIB has begun to subside. According to CryptoQuant, SHIB has recorded five consecutive days of exchange net outflows since July 17. This pattern reflects investors moving tokens from exchanges into private wallets rather than keeping them positioned for sale.
Long-term holders typically transfer assets off exchanges when they anticipate holding through future price developments. Reduced exchange balances can also lessen immediate selling pressure, potentially creating more stable conditions for sustained market activity. However, exchange-flow data is best read alongside liquidity and trading-volume conditions, since tokens can later return to exchanges if holders choose to sell or reposition.
Derivatives Metrics Align with On-Chain Trends
Derivatives data reinforces a similar picture. CoinGlass reports that SHIB's long-to-short ratio currently stands at 1.02, indicating that traders continue to favor long positions over short positions. Funding rates have remained positive since July 17, reaching 0.0103% on Tuesday.
Positive funding rates mean that traders holding long positions are paying those holding short positions — a signal that buyers have been willing to maintain their exposure despite recent gains. Because funding rates can also reflect crowded positioning when they rise sharply, traders typically monitor whether positive funding remains orderly or begins to show signs of excess leverage.
When derivatives metrics and on-chain data improve in tandem, many technical analysts view the convergence as stronger confirmation that momentum is building. The combination of exchange outflows, elevated long positioning, and positive funding rates presents multiple data points that market participants are monitoring closely.
Technical Breakout Shifts Short-Term Outlook
The breakout above the descending trendline has altered SHIB's short-term technical structure. Buyers pushed price beyond a resistance level that had rejected prior recovery attempts over several weeks. Sustaining that breakout remains the next key objective.
If buyers continue defending current price levels, SHIB could move toward the next daily resistance near $0.0000045. A decisive close above that zone would further reinforce bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of an extended move toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. On the downside, $0.0000040 remains a key support level.
Momentum indicators are also showing improvement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed to 45 and continues approaching the neutral 50 level, suggesting that bearish momentum has been fading while buying interest gradually increases.
Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator recently produced a bullish crossover, supported by expanding green histogram bars. Taken together, these technical signals suggest that market momentum continues shifting in favor of buyers. The next signals to watch are whether SHIB can hold above the reclaimed trendline, maintain net exchange outflows, and avoid a reversal in derivatives positioning that would weaken the current setup.