NewsStocksNvidia Stock Falls Below Key Support as AI Slowdown Jitters Rise

Nvidia Stock Falls Below Key Support as AI Slowdown Jitters Rise

Author: The Market Periodical·

Key Takeaways

  • Nvidia shares rose about 0.6% on Sept. 15 after five straight declines, but the stock has now retreated for seven consecutive sessions and remains roughly 9% below its Sept. 4 high of $234.76.
  • Prominent AI figures, including Anthropic's Dario Amodei, OpenAI's Sam Altman, and Elon Musk, have called for slowing advanced model rollouts over safety concerns, while Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and President Trump rejected a broad slowdown.
  • Nvidia is considered the most exposed company to any AI slowdown because it holds billions of dollars in stakes across players such as CoreWeave, Nebius, IREN, Lumentum, Intel, OpenAI, and Anthropic.
  • Nvidia faces growing competition in AI inference from startups like Euclyd and Etched and from its own customers, including OpenAI, which says its new chip outperforms Nvidia's Blackwell on some metrics.
  • Technical signals, including a bearish rising-wedge breakdown, a fall below the 50-day exponential moving average, and a declining relative strength index, suggest the stock could stay under pressure toward the $200 level.
Nvidia Stock Falls Below Key Support as AI Slowdown Jitters Rise

Nvidia (NVDA) shares notched a slight rebound on Sept. 15 after five consecutive sessions of losses, rising about 0.6% following a prior-session close of $210.96. Even so, the stock has now retreated for a seventh consecutive day, remains roughly 9% below its Sept. 4 high of $234.76, and continues to trade beneath its 50-day moving average.

The move matters beyond a single ticker: Nvidia has been the AI sector's biggest beneficiary, and its billions of dollars in stakes across the industry mean its chart is closely watched as a read on AI sentiment. The pullback comes amid a widening debate over artificial intelligence safety, in which some of the biggest names in the field have called for slowing the development of advanced models. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and President Donald Trump, however, have rejected the idea that AI innovation and safety require a broad development slowdown.

AI Safety Fears Weigh on Nvidia

Whether the artificial intelligence industry poses substantial risks to people has become the biggest story in the financial world. Those fears have been building for the past few months, but they accelerated last week after an Anthropic employee warned that the sector risked ending the human race.

The industry's leading figures responded by calling for a slowdown in AI model rollout. Dario Amodei, the head of Anthropic, warned that all firms should consider such a step. OpenAI's Sam Altman, SpaceX's Elon Musk, and the leaders of companies including DeepMind and Microsoft also supported the calls. China, another top country in the AI industry, has also warned about the sector's rising risks, adding a geopolitical layer to the debate.

Investors now fear that a deliberate slowdown would hit companies across the industry. Nvidia would be the most affected, as it has been the sector's biggest beneficiary, and it has made investments worth billions of dollars in industry players. Some of the biggest names in its portfolio include CoreWeave, Nebius, IREN, Lumentum, Intel, OpenAI, and Anthropic — all of which would be affected if the industry faces a major slowdown. That portfolio maps the slowdown's potential blast radius: whatever cools sector spending would reach Nvidia both through its own chip business and through the value of those stakes.

On the positive side, some analysts believe the AI industry has more room to run. President Trump has downplayed the risks associated with AI, and top companies in the industry are still investing billions of dollars. Anthropic, for example, inked a $13.7 billion deal with RUM Group this week, and it recently signed a separate $45 billion deal with Nscale. Commitments of that size are useful markers in the slowdown debate, showing capital still flowing into AI capacity even as the safety rhetoric builds.

Nvidia Faces Rising Competition in AI Inference

The stock's slide also coincides with a wave of new entrants into the AI inference market. Inference — running trained AI models in production for end users — is a distinct slice of the chip market from training, and it is the slice these newcomers are targeting. Samsung Electronics invested in Euclyd, a Dutch startup building AI inference chips that raised $230 million this week. In August, Etched, another chip company, doubled its valuation to $21 billion.

In addition to these startups, Nvidia is now competing with its own customers, including Microsoft, Google, and OpenAI. OpenAI recently unveiled its own chip, which it says outperforms Nvidia's Blackwell on some metrics — a sign of how fluid these relationships are, with OpenAI at once a customer, a portfolio holding, and a chip competitor.

On the positive side, Nvidia has invested in its brand and relationships. It is backing OpenAI's Ohio data center, which will use its chips, and it has taken stakes in other top companies such as CoreWeave and IREN, meaning those firms will mostly use its hardware. The company expects its revenue growth to accelerate in the coming years, with the average estimate calling for revenue to grow 77% next year — the yardstick against which its next results will be measured.

NVDA Stock Price Technical Analysis

Technicals explain why the stock has slipped in recent days. Before the retreat, NVDA formed a rising wedge, a common bearish reversal pattern, and it plunged as the pattern's two boundary lines neared their confluence. stock has dived below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) — a trend line weighted toward recent prices that short-term traders watch closely — and slipped beneath the lower side of the wedge. The relative strength index (RSI), a momentum gauge, has turned lower, according to a TradingView chart.

Based on these signals, the stock will likely remain under pressure, potentially toward $200, before bouncing back toward its all-time high. For readers tracking the setup, the levels in play are the $200 area, the 50-day EMA, and the Sept. 4 high of $234.76 — the markers that will show whether the technical picture deteriorates further or begins to repair.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Readers should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

This article was originally published by The Market Periodical.