Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Surges on Record Q2 Earnings and Bold 2028 Revenue Outlook
Key Takeaways
- •Nvidia’s second-quarter revenue reached $96.22 billion, beating analyst forecasts and rising 105.9% from the prior year.
- •Adjusted earnings per share were $2.22, exceeding the consensus estimate of $2.09.
- •Data center revenue increased 117% year over year to $89 billion and remained the main driver of results.
- •Management projected third-quarter revenue of about $108 billion and fiscal 2028 revenue growth of roughly 70%.
- •The company is expanding beyond GPUs with integrated systems such as the Vera CPU and Vera Rubin platform, while facing margin, supply chain, and China export headwinds.

Key Takeaways
- Nvidia delivered Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion, representing a 106% year-over-year increase and surpassing Wall Street's $92.27 billion estimate.
- The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $2.22, exceeding the $2.09 analyst consensus by $0.13.
- Data center segment revenue soared 117% to reach $89 billion during the quarter.
- Management issued Q3 guidance of approximately $108 billion and forecast fiscal 2028 revenue growth near 70%, significantly above the ~45% analyst projection.
- The company is broadening its competitive moat beyond graphics processors with integrated data orchestration solutions including the Vera CPU and Vera Rubin platform.
Nvidia delivered exceptional second-quarter results on August 26, announcing revenue of $96.22 billion that exceeded analyst projections of $92.27 billion. Shares opened trading Friday at $217.55. The results arrive as hyperscale cloud providers—including Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta—continue to commit tens of billions of dollars quarterly to AI infrastructure buildouts, spending that flows heavily into Nvidia's data center products.
The data center business drove performance, surging 117% from the prior-year period to reach $89 billion. Adjusted earnings per share landed at $2.22, topping consensus estimates of $2.09 by thirteen cents.
Top-line results represented 105.9% growth versus the comparable quarter in the previous year. The company achieved return on equity of 96.04% alongside a net profit margin of 63.66%.
For the third quarter, management provided revenue guidance of approximately $108 billion. The company also projected that fiscal year 2028 revenue could expand by roughly 70%, substantially exceeding the ~45% growth rate Wall Street had anticipated.
Multiple sell-side firms responded by raising their price objectives, with upgrades coming from Wedbush, Truist, RBC, and JPMorgan among others. The consensus analyst price target currently stands at $322.61, supported by 48 buy recommendations and four hold ratings.
Beyond Graphics: Nvidia's Broader Hardware Strategy
The more significant development from the earnings announcement is that Nvidia's competitive positioning extends well beyond its GPU dominance. The company's Vera Rubin platform integrates the Rubin GPU with the Vera CPU, a Groq 3 LPX inference accelerator, plus purpose-built storage and networking infrastructure.
The Vera CPU targets data orchestration challenges in hyperscale computing environments. According to Jason Hardy, Nvidia's VP of storage technology, the processor achieved "upwards of 3x improvement" in specific workloads, enabling flash storage systems to operate at maximum throughput without creating bottlenecks.
As computing infrastructure expands, efficiently moving data to processing units at optimal timing has emerged as a critical bottleneck. Nvidia is marketing its complete system architecture as the solution rather than selling components in isolation. The full-stack approach also functions as a defensive strategy: rivals such as AMD have pushed competing AI accelerators, while major cloud customers including Google, Amazon, and Microsoft have developed their own custom AI chips, giving them alternatives to Nvidia's hardware.
Challenges and Potential Headwinds
The company faces several obstacles ahead. Gross profit margins are projected to decline to approximately 72%-73% due to increasing costs for memory, advanced packaging, and infrastructure investments.
Supply chain limitations continue to present challenges, potentially restricting the company's ability to convert robust demand into actual sales. Management also removed China data center compute revenue from forward projections, highlighting persistent export regulation uncertainties. U.S. export controls on advanced AI chips have repeatedly restricted Nvidia's ability to sell its highest-end products into China, one of the world's largest chip markets.
Additional concerns emerged around reports that Nvidia suspended certain revenue-sharing agreements with cloud-based AI service providers, prompting questions about customer financing arrangements. Following the initial post-earnings surge, investors engaged in profit-taking, with NVDA declining alongside AMD and Intel.
Regarding potential acquisitions, reports suggest Nvidia is pursuing Hugging Face in a transaction estimated around $12.9 billion, though no final agreement has been reached. Hugging Face hosts one of the largest public repositories of open-source AI models, which would complement Nvidia's strategy of nurturing the broader AI software ecosystem that ultimately drives demand for its hardware.
Institutional shareholders control 65.27% of outstanding NVDA shares. Company insiders have divested approximately $410 million in stock during the past ninety days. In May, management authorized an $80 billion stock repurchase program and approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share, scheduled for October 1 distribution.
The stock trades within a 52-week range spanning $164.07 to $236.54, with the company's current market capitalization at $5.24 trillion.
Source: Blockonomi