Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Climbs as AI Demand Drives Data Center Expansion
Key Takeaways
- •Microsoft's commercial backlog rose 84% year over year to $678 billion, exceeding twice its trailing twelve-month revenue of $331.84 billion, with roughly 30% expected to convert to revenue within the next twelve months.
- •Azure revenue grew 43% as reported in fiscal fourth-quarter 2026, up from 40% the prior quarter, and Microsoft guided fiscal first-quarter 2027 Azure growth to approximately 45% in constant currency.
- •Microsoft opened 88 data centers during fiscal 2026, including 31 across five continents in the fourth quarter, and cut GPU dock-to-live times nearly in half across its largest operating regions as demand continues to exceed available capacity.
- •The company spent $41 billion on capital expenditures in fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 and expects spending to increase again in fiscal 2027, mirroring budget increases at Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta amid an industry-wide AI infrastructure push.
- •Microsoft projects double-digit revenue and operating income growth for fiscal 2027 with operating margin declining less than one percentage point from its 46.8% trailing twelve-month level, while Windows OEM and Devices revenue is expected to fall in the high teens.

Microsoft shares advanced 1.16% to $488.83, rebounding from an intraday low near $482.50 during midday trading. The stock approached the $490 level as cloud growth and infrastructure expansion supported stronger trading during the session, and the company continues to scale data centers because contracted demand remains well above its available computing capacity for cloud and AI workloads.
Over the past three months, Microsoft has returned 15.5%, compared with a 3.1% gain for the broader S&P 500. However, the stock remains down 3.5% over the trailing twelve months and sits roughly 10% below its 52-week high.
Commercial Backlog Reaches $678 Billion
Microsoft's commercial obligations reached $678 billion after large OpenAI contracts, a figure that stands at more than twice the company's trailing twelve-month revenue of $331.84 billion. Microsoft expects roughly 30% of that backlog to convert into revenue within the next twelve months. The backlog represents contracted, signed business that has not yet been recognized as revenue — essentially Microsoft's commercial remaining performance obligations — making it a closely watched gauge of how much cloud and AI demand is already locked in.
Commercial backlog rose 84% year over year, while growth excluding OpenAI reached 25% on the same basis, a gap that reflects the scale of the OpenAI contracts within the headline increase. Microsoft 365 Copilot paid seats also exceeded 30 million, up from more than 20 million one quarter earlier.
Data Center Expansion Lifts Azure Capacity
Microsoft continues expanding infrastructure because customer demand remains above available computing capacity across its major operating regions. The company added 31 data centers across five continents during fiscal fourth-quarter 2026, which covers the April–June quarter under a fiscal year that ends June 30. Across the full fiscal year, Microsoft opened 88 data centers to increase cloud capacity and support additional workloads.
Microsoft also cut GPU dock-to-live times — the interval between hardware arriving at a data center and being ready to serve customer workloads — by nearly half across its largest operating regions during the year. Faster deployment increased available computing resources and improved service throughput, and management said these efficiency improvements create revenue benefits within the same quarter that new capacity becomes available.
On the revenue side, Azure momentum continued. Azure revenue grew 43% as reported during fiscal fourth-quarter 2026, improving from 40% during the previous quarter. Microsoft guided fiscal first-quarter 2027 Azure growth to roughly 45% in constant currency. Because demand continues to exceed the capacity Microsoft can currently serve, that target depends in part on how quickly new data centers come online, and the guidance reflects continued expansion while the company adds infrastructure across its major global regions.
Capital Spending Tests Margin Discipline
Microsoft spent $41 billion on capital expenditures during fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 alone. The spending supported data centers, computing equipment, and other infrastructure required for continued cloud expansion. Management expects capital expenditures to increase again during fiscal 2027 as capacity development continues across its network. The buildout parallels an industry-wide AI infrastructure push, with rival cloud providers Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta likewise lifting capital budgets to expand data center capacity for AI workloads.
The company expects fiscal 2027 revenue and operating income to grow at double-digit rates, and it expects full-year operating margin to decline by less than one percentage point. Trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 46.8%, matching its three-year peak level, so a decline of that size would leave profitability close to its recent highs even as infrastructure spending rises.
Windows OEM and Devices revenue will create a separate drag during fiscal 2027. Microsoft expects that segment to decline in the high teens for the full fiscal year, and it expects a low-20% decline during fiscal first-quarter 2027 while cloud infrastructure remains the company's primary growth engine.