Traders are already betting on whether embattled Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will keep his job, after he admitted to an extramarital affair with a business executive whom U.S. intelligence officials reportedly identified as a Chinese spy. Platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket moved quickly to list wagers on Huang's future once the chief executive acknowledged the affair on Sunday, and the early odds run in his favor.

One event contract on Kalshi, which asks when Huang will leave the CEO post at Nvidia, has already drawn more than $266,000 in trading volume. Traders put the probability of his departure before January 2029 at 54%, versus 52% before January 2028 and 33% before July 2027. A separate Kalshi market has attracted roughly $2,500 in volume, with traders assigning a 46% probability that Huang will testify before Congress by next January — a figure that climbs to 79% by next July.

Polymarket has listed its own market on when Huang's resignation or removal as CEO will be announced, drawing more than $305,000 in trading volume. Traders put the probability of an announcement by year-end at 16%, rising to 22% by the end of March 2027. The platform is also taking bets on Huang's personal life: roughly $159,000 is wagered on the probability of a divorce by March 2027, with current odds at 23%.

The event contracts went live a day after Nvidia announced an investigation into Huang, who acknowledged to the company's board that he had an intimate relationship with the executive. Shares of Nvidia have fallen nearly 10% since Monday morning. Until the probe concludes, the investigation stands as the focal point for the board, the stock, and the traders now pricing Huang's future.

As Huang's future hangs in the balance, traders have turned the corporate scandal into a running forecast of what might come next, mirroring how these platforms cover other breaking stories. The venues let users trade on outcomes spanning sports, politics, and even the weather, with prices serving as a gauge of traders' expectations for how events will unfold. On these platforms, contracts are priced in cents and settle at $1 when the stated event occurs by the deadline, which is why the quoted figures double as probabilities. The speed with which the Huang markets appeared also shows how these venues now extend their running-forecast model from election nights to corporate boardrooms.

The election outcomes strengthened the platforms' standing as forecasting tools. They first rose to prominence during the 2024 presidential race, when traders backed Donald Trump to win even as polls pointed to a tight contest between him and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.

Yet the platforms' calls have not always matched the final results. While prediction markets broadly anticipated Democratic gains in the midterms, they favored Republicans in the Texas governor's race and South Carolina's Senate race, both of which Democrats ultimately won. An earlier surprise in Brazil's presidential election also raised questions about their forecasting accuracy. For readers tracking the Huang odds, the markers to watch are the outcome of Nvidia's internal probe and the contract deadlines, which will eventually force each market to resolve one way or the other.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com.