NewsMacroEx-Trump Official Reveals What's 'Different' About the Heartland GOP Revolt

Ex-Trump Official Reveals What's 'Different' About the Heartland GOP Revolt

Author: Alternet·

Key Takeaways

  • •Republican lawmakers and candidates in heartland states including Kansas, Ohio, Indiana, Iowa, Wisconsin and Michigan are publicly breaking with President Trump.
  • •The Iran war has become a key point of contention because it has driven gas and fertilizer prices sharply higher, directly affecting the agricultural economy during Midwest harvest season.
  • •The Cook Political Report moved the Kansas Senate race from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican" after Sen. Roger Marshall criticized ICE operations in his state, even though a Democrat has not won the seat since 1932.
  • •Sen. Todd Young of Indiana opposed Trump's invitation to Russian President Vladimir Putin for the December G20 summit in Miami and earlier called for pausing the bombing of Iran to focus on securing its nuclear material.
  • •Republican strategists said the party is increasingly nervous about the war's open-ended costs and that lawmakers must answer to constituents facing continued price increases.
Ex-Trump Official Reveals What's 'Different' About the Heartland GOP Revolt

A growing Republican revolt against President Donald Trump is sweeping through America’s heartland, according to a report from The Hill, and one former Trump administration official says what is happening now is “different” from the usual campaign-season friction.

The anonymous former official spoke with The Hill’s Mallory Wilson and Julia Manchester in an article published Saturday, describing the public pushback against Trump from MAGA Republicans in Kansas, Ohio and Indiana, among other states, as par for the course in a tough campaign season.

“If Donald Trump isn’t popular in your district or state, you should expect your candidates to try to create some distance. That is the ordinary course of business,” the former official said. “What is different right now is that Trump is unpopular in a lot more districts, and a lot more states, than anyone expected. But the die is pretty much cast. This is his party now. If it wins, it’s because of him. If it loses, it’s because of him. There’s just no two ways about that,” the ex-official added.

The Hill report notes recent comments from Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.) that were “critical of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) operating in his state.” Although a Democrat hasn’t won the Kansas Senate race since 1932, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report this week moved the contest from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican,” a sign that the once solidly red seat could be in play.

As Beltway insider Mark Halperin wrote Friday, “While public polls are horrendous for Republicans, the private ones are worse.”

Sen. Todd Young (R-Ind.) likewise “spoke out against Trump inviting Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Group of 20 (G20) summit this December in Miami,” The Hill reports. Earlier this month, Young, who serves on the Senate Intelligence Committee, called for the States to “pause bombing Iran and focus on securing the country’s nuclear material,” as Indiana’s WISH-TV reported at the time.

According to The Hill, the Iran war has emerged as a key point of contention for heartland leaders, as “prices for gas and fertilizer skyrocket as a result” of the conflict. Fuel and fertilizer are bedrock costs in an agricultural economy — fuel runs the machinery and transport that planting and harvest require, while fertilizer is a core input for crops — so price swings there reach farm households and consumers directly. Republican strategist Doug Heye told the outlet that Republicans are “clearly … increasingly nervous about the costs of the war and that there seems to be no end in sight and still no definition of what success means.”

“No doubt we’ll hear more Republicans echoing similar concerns,” Heye said.

Among those already speaking out on the Iran war, The Hill reports, are “Iowa Senate candidate Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) and Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Rep. Tom Tiffany (R-Wis.).” Former Rep. Mike Rogers, who is locked in a fierce Senate battle in Michigan, recently called for a “quick” end to the war. And, as The Hill notes, “Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio) told Politico earlier this week that ‘the war needs to come to an end as quickly as possible so that we can lower gas prices.’”

“It’s the right move to make,” Heye told The Hill, “but impossible to tell how much success it will have.”

GOP strategist Preya Samsundar told The Hill that the defections come as farmers across the Midwest “gear up for harvest season.”

“That is acres upon acres of products and goods that American farmers are going to be harvesting this fall,” Samsundar said. “[Republicans] understand what the president is doing is important, but their constituencies are suffering. … They’re not seeing immediate relief, the prices continue to rise and they have to give an account for that.”

Where gas and fertilizer prices go from here, and whether more Republicans follow the lawmakers already breaking ranks, are the threads to watch as harvest gets underway across the Midwest and the December G20 summit in Miami draws closer.