NewsCommodities & ForexGBPUSD holds buyer control above rising 100-hour moving average

GBPUSD holds buyer control above rising 100-hour moving average

Author: ForexLive·

Key Takeaways

  • GBPUSD advanced from about 1.3272 on July 28 to 1.3674 by Friday before pausing in consolidation.
  • Intraday trading has been confined to a tight range between 1.3623 and 1.3652, with the pair near 1.3642.
  • The 100-hour moving average at 1.36329 is acting as the nearest support and risk-defining level for buyers.
  • A break above 1.3674 would expose higher swing highs from June and September 2025 in the 1.3725 to 1.3772 area.
  • A sustained move below the 100-hour moving average would shift the short-term tone lower, with 1.3617 and the 200-hour moving average near 1.3587 as the next downside levels.
GBPUSD holds buyer control above rising 100-hour moving average

Sterling has attracted steady demand against the dollar since bottoming near 1.3272 on July 28. The advance carried GBPUSD to 1.3674 by Friday, after which the pair settled into a consolidation phase that has spanned the past three trading sessions.

The rally spans roughly 400 pips from the late-July low to Friday's high, and it has unfolded in GBPUSD — "cable" to traders — one of the most heavily traded currency pairs, whose longer-term swings are closely tied to relative Bank of England and Federal Reserve policy expectations. The hourly moving averages now at the center of the pause frame the shorter-term, tactical picture that intraday participants watch.

Price action today has been confined to a narrow 29-pip band between 1.3623 and 1.3652. While the market has paused, the sideways trading has given the rising 100-hour moving average time to catch up with the price. That moving average currently sits at 1.36329. Both it and the 200-hour measure below are among the most widely followed short-term trend gauges in the currency market, and because they recalculate with each hour of trading they act as moving reference points rather than fixed chart levels.

Apart from a few brief dips below the level, buyers have continued to lean against the 100-hour moving average and preserve the bullish bias. The pair currently trades around 1.3642, roughly 10 pips above that key technical barometer.

As long as the price remains above the 100-hour moving average, buyers can use the level to define and limit risk while looking for another move higher. The first major target is Friday's high at 1.3674. A break above that level would open the door toward swing highs dating back to June and September 2025 between 1.3725 and 1.3772. Beyond that area, the 2026 high from January comes in at 1.38688.

Conversely, a sustained move below the 100-hour moving average would not necessarily trigger a sharp decline, but it would represent a modest shift in the short-term bias. The next downside targets would be Friday's low at 1.3617, followed by the rising 200-hour moving average near 1.3587.

That 200-hour moving average remains an important support level. On August 13, GBPUSD based against it, keeping buyers in control and helping launch the latest trend-like move higher.

For now, buyers continue to hold the stronger hand. The rising 100-hour moving average is the closest risk-defining level, while the 200-hour moving average below provides the more important support and the market's bullish-bearish barometer.