NewsStocksExplained: What $127 Billion in FCNR(B) Inflows Mean for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Other Indian Bank Stocks

Explained: What $127 Billion in FCNR(B) Inflows Mean for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Other Indian Bank Stocks

Author: Economic Times Markets·

Key Takeaways

  • Indian banks mobilised approximately $127 billion in FCNR(B) deposits under the RBI framework, which has now closed to fresh mobilization.
  • Banks raised over $136 billion in total through the RBI forex swap and FCNR(B) deposits, with FCNR(B) deposits dominating the inflows.
  • The FCNR(B) rush has left the banking system with liquidity of about Rs 6.65 lakh crore, posing a management challenge for the RBI.
  • The dollar inflows have strengthened India's foreign exchange reserves and given the RBI additional firepower in currency markets.
  • India previously used FCNR(B) deposits in 2013, when a concessional swap window under Raghuram Rajan attracted roughly $34 billion during rupee stress.
Explained: What $127 Billion in FCNR(B) Inflows Mean for ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Other Indian Bank Stocks

The closure of the FCNR(B) scheme has triggered a notable surge in dollar inflows into India, strengthening the country's foreign exchange reserves and giving the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) additional firepower in currency markets.

FCNR(B) — Foreign Currency Non-Residential (Bank) — accounts allow banks to accept deposits from non-resident Indians in foreign currencies such as the US dollar, with the deposit held in foreign currency and shielded from rupee exchange-rate risk for the depositor. India has previously leaned on this instrument in times of currency stress: in 2013, when the rupee came under sharp pressure, the RBI under then-governor Raghuram Rajan opened a concessional swap window that attracted roughly $34 billion in FCNR(B) deposits, helping steady the currency.

Indian banks have been major beneficiaries of these substantial fund mobilizations, with the inflows helping support continued loan growth across the banking sector. Under the scheme, banks mobilized approximately $127 billion in FCNR(B) deposits, alongside other foreign currency raising mechanisms. The inflows have added materially to the sector's funding base at a time when deposit growth has trailed credit expansion for many lenders.

However, the windfall has created a new policy challenge for the RBI: managing the surplus liquidity generated by these inflows. Mopping up the excess liquidity in the banking system is expected to be a key task for the central bank in the period ahead. The related coverage indicates the FCNR(B) rush has left the banking system with liquidity of about Rs 6.65 lakh crore, a scale that will shape how the RBI calibrates its liquidity management operations in the coming months.

The surge in FCNR(B) deposits follows the RBI's framework allowing banks to attract foreign currency funds, with banks raising over $136 billion in total via the RBI forex swap and FCNR(B) deposits, the latter dominating the inflows. With the scheme now closed to fresh mobilization, market attention shifts to how banks deploy this foreign currency funding and how the RBI absorbs the resulting rupee liquidity.

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Source: Economic Times