NewsCryptoDoomberg: US Treasury Sanctions Are “Wildly Bullish” for Bitcoin and Gold

Doomberg: US Treasury Sanctions Are “Wildly Bullish” for Bitcoin and Gold

Author: Bitcoin Magazine·

Key Takeaways

  • •Doomberg contends that U.S. pressure on allied governments to keep holding Treasuries changes the risk calculus central banks apply to dollar-denominated reserves.
  • •He argues that in a crisis, reserve managers sell the assets they can sell rather than the ones they want to sell, making accessibility central to allocation decisions.
  • •Doomberg cites gold's short-term weakness since February 28 as consistent with this dynamic while describing the long-run implications as 'wildly bullish' for gold and Bitcoin as neutral reserve assets.
  • •He suggests younger, hyper-online generations are more likely to choose Bitcoin over other reserve alternatives.
  • •The debate over reserve accessibility has persisted since 2022, when the U.S. and its allies immobilized a large share of Russia's central bank reserves.
Doomberg: US Treasury Sanctions Are “Wildly Bullish” for Bitcoin and Gold

Bitcoin Magazine has published a video interview with Doomberg, the anonymous energy and markets commentary team known for its Substack newsletter, examining how U.S. Treasury sanctions and pressure on allied governments to keep holding their Treasuries could reshape central bank reserve decisions.

Central to Doomberg’s argument is a simple question: what happens to reserve assets when holders are not allowed to sell them? He says U.S. pressure on allies to retain their Treasuries changes the math for central banks, because in a crisis “you sell what you can sell, not what you want to sell.” He points to gold’s short-term weakness since February 28th as consistent with that dynamic, while viewing the long-run implications as “wildly bullish” for gold and Bitcoin as neutral reserve assets. He adds that younger, hyper-online generations are more likely to choose Bitcoin.

The accessibility question is not abstract: central banks collectively hold trillions of dollars in reserves, and debate over how freely those assets can be mobilized has run since 2022, when the U.S. and its allies immobilized a large share of Russia’s central bank reserves. Against that backdrop, discussions about how much reserve weight belongs in dollar assets versus alternatives such as gold — and, more recently, whether Bitcoin could serve alongside it — have become a recurring theme among policymakers and market observers, one this conversation engages with directly.

The full conversation is available on YouTube. Readers who want to trace Doomberg’s reserve-asset case for themselves will find it concentrated in the 13:27 and 19:02 chapters. Timestamped chapters cover:

  • 00:00 – Doomberg on the Fed, Kevin Warsh and the midterm elections
  • 01:21 – Will Trump restart the war in Iran after the midterms?
  • 03:11 – Houthi refinery strikes, $110 Brent and prices at the pump
  • 05:03 – What a renewed U.S.–Iran conflict would mean for global markets
  • 09:21 – Doomberg’s bull case: peace deals and a post-midterm boom
  • 11:00 – How a diesel shortage turns into a glut
  • 13:27 – Europe’s energy crisis, French bonds and U.S. Treasuries
  • 16:38 – Will Germany bail out France? The future of the EU
  • 19:02 – Gold vs. Bitcoin as reserve assets
  • 24:54 – Christine Lagarde’s early exit and ECB politics

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in the show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. The content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing in the show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

This article first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and was written by Patrick Green.