NewsStocksBoeing (BA) Stock Falls 2.4% as CEO Signals Slower 737 MAX Production Ramp

Boeing (BA) Stock Falls 2.4% as CEO Signals Slower 737 MAX Production Ramp

Author: Coincentral·

Key Takeaways

  • Boeing's stock declined 2.4% to roughly $197 on volume about 77% above its daily average after CEO Kelly Ortberg said stabilizing 737 MAX production at 47 jets per month is proving slower than anticipated.
  • Wing-production constraints at the Renton facility, delayed engine deliveries, and unresolved certification issues are holding back the output ramp that underpins Boeing's $10 billion cash-flow target.
  • A rumored order from China for approximately 200 aircraft did not come through, as Ortberg confirmed no agreement had been reached, keeping those jets outside Boeing's backlog.
  • Korean Air finalized a record order for 103 Boeing planes valued near $36.2 billion at list prices, alongside Lufthansa's reported addition of 20 MAX 10 jets and an FAA emissions waiver clearing sales of 35 more 777F freighters after 2028.
  • Anal sentiment is split, with a 'Moderate Buy' consensus and a $272.58 average price target, while BofA highlights a potential SPEEA engineering union strike when the labor contract expires on October 6.
Boeing (BA) Stock Falls 2.4% as CEO Signals Slower 737 MAX Production Ramp

Boeing (BA) shares fell 2.4% on Thursday to around $197, capping a difficult week for the U.S. planemaker. Trading volume reached 11.7 million shares in mid-day action, roughly 77% above the stock's daily average, indicating the decline drew substantial investor attention rather than passing drift.

The selloff followed comments from CEO Kelly Ortberg, who told investors at a conference that stabilizing 737 MAX output at a rate of 47 aircraft per month is taking longer than anticipated. According to Ortberg, wing-production bottlenecks at the Renton facility, engine delivery delays, and unresolved certification hurdles are all weighing on the production ramp.

The pace of deliveries matters directly to Boeing's financial recovery. The company's $10 billion cash-flow target depends heavily on shipping aircraft faster, since slower deliveries delay customer payments and slow the reduction of inventory on the balance sheet. That dependency is why production rates have become the yardstick for measuring the turnaround — and why the above-average volume on Thursday accompanied the news.

Adding to investor disappointment, a widely anticipated order from China for approximately 200 aircraft did not materialize. Ortberg clarified that no such agreement had been reached, ending a storyline that had fueled optimism heading into the week and leaving those roughly 200 jets outside Boeing's backlog.

Orders Provide Some Counterweight

The week was not without positives. Korean Air finalized a record order for 103 Boeing aircraft valued at roughly $36.2 billion at list prices, spanning 777-9s, Dreamliners, 737-10s, and freighters — a substantial addition to Boeing's long-term commercial backlog.

Lufthansa also reportedly agreed to take 20 additional 737 MAX 10 jets. On the cargo side, the FAA issued a waiver on emissions rules, clearing Boeing to sell 35 additional 777F freighters after 2028. Boeing also flagged reported interest in up to four 777-8F freighters and a lease for a 757-200PCF.

Elsewhere, the 777X program remains on track for first deliveries in 2027, and an expanded contract ceiling for the KC-46 tanker offers some reassurance on the defense side of the business.

Analyst Responses Mixed

Wall Street's reaction has been measured. The consensus rating stands at "Moderate Buy," with an average price target of $272.58 — well above current trading levels.

BofA analyst Ronald Epstein described the earlier 7% intra-day drop this week as "a bit dramatic," noting that Boeing's turnaround was never going to be a straight line. He reiterated a Buy rating with a $270 price target.

Sentiment is not uniformly positive, however. Wolfe Research downgraded the stock from "Outperform" to "Hold" in August, Weiss Ratings maintains a "Sell" rating, and Royal Bank of Canada lowered its price target from $275 to $265 while retaining an "Outperform" call.

Boeing's financial position remains stretched. The company carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.77 and a quick ratio of just 0.33. In its most recent quarter, Boeing missed its EPS estimate by $0.42, reporting a loss of $0.76 per share against an expected loss of $0.34.

BofA identified what it views as a more pressing near-term risk: a potential strike by the SPEEA engineering union, with the current labor contract set to expire on October 6 — a fixed date that gives the market a clear near-term checkpoint on that risk.

Technically, the stock trades well below both its 50-day moving average of $217.12 and its 200-day moving average of $218.63, placing shares roughly 9% and 10% beneath those trend lines, respectively, with both averages sitting above the current price.