Bitcoin (BTC) Win Rate vs S&P 500 Reaches 50% Over 90 Sessions
Key Takeaways
- •Bitcoin recorded a 50% win rate against the S&P 500 over the past 90 US trading sessions, having previously lost more of those sessions than it won.
- •The figures were published by COINOTAG on November 5, 2026.
- •Bitcoin traded near $79,750 as of Thursday, roughly 2% higher over 24 hours.
- •The metric counts each session as a binary outcome of whether Bitcoin outperformed the index, without reflecting the size of daily gains or losses.
- •Upcoming trading sessions will determine whether Bitcoin's 90-session win rate moves above or below the 50% level.

Bitcoin (BTC) won half of the past 90 US trading sessions against the S&P 500, closing out a stretch in which the cryptocurrency had lost more of those sessions than it won. The milestone puts Bitcoin's session-by-session win rate against the benchmark US equity index at exactly 50% over the 90-session window, according to figures published by COINOTAG on November 5, 2026.
The Bitcoin (BTC) price stands near $79,750 as of Thursday, roughly 2% higher over 24 hours, with the parity mark in relative performance arriving alongside the modest daily gain.
The S&P 500, a widely followed index of large-cap US equities, is a common reference point in cross-asset performance comparisons. With US equity markets trading roughly 250 sessions per year, a 90-session window spans several months of consecutive trading days. Within this framework, a win represents a session in which Bitcoin outperformed the index, while a loss represents a session of underperformance; a 50% win rate therefore reflects an even split between the two outcomes over the period measured. Because each session is recorded as a binary outcome, the metric captures how often Bitcoin came out ahead rather than the size of the daily gains or losses on either side.
Session-level comparisons of this kind are frequently used to gauge how Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, performs relative to traditional financial benchmarks such as US equities. With the tally now sitting at parity, upcoming sessions will determine whether the 90-session win rate moves above or below the 50% level.
This content was first published on COINOTAG.