NewsCryptoBitcoin Gives Back Gains as Surging US Bond Yields Keep $85,000 Out of Reach

Bitcoin Gives Back Gains as Surging US Bond Yields Keep $85,000 Out of Reach

Author: Cointelegraph·

Key Takeaways

  • •Bitcoin retreated below $83,000 on Tuesday after a local rally to about $84,540 stalled as US bond yields reached multidecade highs.
  • •The 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.60%, its highest in 24 years, while the 10-year yield hit 5.26%, approaching levels last seen in April 2002.
  • •Rising yields weighed on other non-yielding and safe-haven assets, with gold falling 3.6% on Monday to $4,115 per ounce before rebounding to $4,166.
  • •Order-book data showed ask liquidity thickening around $85,000, and Glassnode identified the heaviest cluster of long-term holder coins at $84,000–$85,000, raising profit-taking risk on any breakout attempt.
  • •Markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to hike rates by 0.25% at its October meeting, a decision expected to influence the yield levels currently pressuring crypto and other assets.
Bitcoin Gives Back Gains as Surging US Bond Yields Keep $85,000 Out of Reach

Bitcoin (BTC) reversed its latest gains after Tuesday's Wall Street open as United States bond yields continued to print multidecade highs, keeping the key $85,000 resistance level out of reach.

The leading cryptocurrency abandoned a low-timeframe rebound after reaching $84,450 and slipped back below $83,000, while ask liquidity continued to cement itself above the spot price around $85,000 on exchange order books.

Bitcoin rejected near $85,000 as bond-yield rally continues

Data from TradingView showed a local rally to $84,540 stalling as the US trading session began, with BTC/USD retreating below its daily opening level near $83,600.

US bond markets showed no sign of cooling on the day. The 30-year yield reached new 24-year highs above 5.60%, while the 10-year yield hit 5.26% — on the cusp of passing its June 2007 high to reach levels last seen in April 2002.

Yields at these levels raise the payout on risk-free Treasury instruments while lifting borrowing costs across the economy — a combination that tightens financial conditions and reduces the relative appeal of holding assets that produce no yield, a dynamic now visible across markets from metals to crypto.

Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran war, elevated oil prices and persistent inflation kept investors cautious, and surging bond yields also weighed on precious metals. Gold fell 3.6% on Monday to $4,115 per ounce before rebounding to $4,166 at the time of writing.

Market commentator The Kobeissi Letter described gold's move as "highly unusual." "The surge in yields is creating an extraordinary disruption across the precious metals market," it wrote in a post on X.

US equities, meanwhile, avoided major volatility. New analysis from trading resource Mosaic Asset Company saw the potential for renewed upside amid "extremely oversold" conditions.

"On a year-to-date basis, the percent of stocks trading in short-term uptrends has only been this low back in late March when the S&P fell near correction territory. Many other measures of breadth show the presence of an oversold condition while investor sentiment has seen a large jump in bearish views over the past two weeks," it wrote on Tuesday.

Mosaic added that robust economic data, including higher-than-expected job gains in August, could support further stock gains even as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. As Cointelegraph reported, markets expect the Fed to hike rates by 0.25% at its October meeting — a widely expected decision that will help determine the near-term path of the yields now weighing on crypto and other markets.

Long-term holder supply reinforces resistance

On low timeframes, Bitcoin remained under the influence of exchange order-book liquidity shifts. Data from CoinGlass showed overhead resistance thickening at $85,000 on the day, with price dropping as a result — a repeat of behavior seen at the start of the week.

Onchain analytics platform Glassnode added that coins held by long-term holders (LTHs) — wallets holding a UTXO for at least six months without selling — were clustered around $85,000, increasing the likelihood of profit-taking if Bitcoin attempts to break above that level.

"$BTC has stalled under its heaviest supply cluster. More long-term holder coins sit at 84k–85k than at any other price on the chart. Price needs to break through and hold above this level for the rally to continue," the firm told its X followers.

With order-book asks and long-term holder supply stacked in the same zone, the $84,000–$85,000 band now functions as the trend's key test: by Glassnode's framing, Bitcoin must clear it and hold above it for the rally to resume.

Related: Bitcoin bull market 'confirmed' but $90K presents profit-taking risk: Analysis