NewsCryptoBitcoin Reclaims $80,000 as Fed's Waller Signals Rate Pause, Wiping Out $415 Million in Short Positions

Bitcoin Reclaims $80,000 as Fed's Waller Signals Rate Pause, Wiping Out $415 Million in Short Positions

Author: Decrypt·

Key Takeaways

  • •Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he would be inclined to support holding the benchmark rate steady if inflation data continues improving, pushing September rate-hike odds down to 50.4% from 63.2%.
  • •Bitcoin traded near $80,270, up almost 3% in 24 hours, while Ethereum rose 2.2% toward $2,500 and XRP gained 6%.
  • •CoinGlass data shows over $500 million in crypto liquidations in the past 24 hours, including more than $415 million in forced short-position closures affecting over 119,000 traders.
  • •U.S. equities rallied in tandem, with the Dow up 453 points and Nvidia confirming a roughly $13 billion acquisition of AI model hub Hugging Face.
  • •The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the August jobs report Friday, the final major economic data point before the Fed's September 15-16 meeting.
Bitcoin Reclaims $80,000 as Fed's Waller Signals Rate Pause, Wiping Out $415 Million in Short Positions

Bitcoin pushed back above $80,000 on Thursday, trading near $80,270 and up close to 3% over the past 24 hours, as the broader crypto market rallied alongside U.S. stocks—largely on fresh comments from the Federal Reserve that sent short sellers scrambling.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled Thursday that he could support holding rates steady, pulling the odds of a September rate hike down to 50.4% from 63.2% a day earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Meanwhile, CoinGlass data shows more than $500 million in crypto liquidations over the past 24 hours, with short sellers accounting for over $415 million of that as rising prices forced them to buy back their positions.

Ethereum is closing in on $2,500, up 2.2% on the day, while XRP has surged 6% in the last 24 hours. The spike accounted for at least $327 million in liquidated short positions in the last hour alone.

Fed pivot drives the rally

The catalyst appears to be comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who in prepared remarks at a Reuters NEXT Newsmaker interview said he'd be "inclined to support" holding the Fed's benchmark interest rate at its current level if upcoming inflation data keeps improving. Waller is a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, so his remarks carry weight with traders pricing the path of policy.

Traders took the hint. The odds of a rate hike at the Fed's September 15-16 meeting fell to 50.4%, down from 63.2% a day earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool, a market gauge that estimates the odds of Fed moves from futures prices. The 10-year Treasury yield, a benchmark for borrowing costs economy-wide that had touched its highest level since November 2023 a day earlier, dropped to around 4.73%.

It's a sharp reversal from a week ago. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole keynote had knocked Bitcoin down to $76,877 and pushed hike odds toward 56%. Thursday's bounce puts Bitcoin back at a level it has tested—and failed to hold—several times this year.

An interest rate hike would be the Fed's first since July 2023, when it took the benchmark rate to a 22-year high of 5.25% to 5.50% to fight post-pandemic inflation. Higher rates make cash and bonds pay more, pulling money out of riskier bets like stocks and crypto, and they tend to strengthen the dollar, which weighs on dollar-priced assets like Bitcoin. A hold keeps that pressure off, which is why traders read Waller's comments as good news for risk assets rather than a reason to sell.

Stocks join the move

Equities moved in the same direction—a reminder that crypto has increasingly traded in step with rate-sensitive tech shares rather than as an independent asset class. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 453 points, or 0.9%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each gained close to 1%. Nvidia added to the tech sector's strength after confirming a roughly $13 billion deal to buy AI model hub Hugging Face, and Snowflake shares soared after a stronger-than-expected earnings report.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang marked the deal on X:

Exciting day for NVIDIA and @huggingface. Open models strengthen safety and cybersecurity, accelerate innovation and diffusion, and enable sovereignty. They allow every developer, startup, university, industry and country to build with, customize and benefit from AI. Thank you…

— Jensen Huang (@JensenHuang) September 3, 2026

https://x.com/JensenHuang/status/2095482647355244762

Short sellers get squeezed

Crypto's rally has a specific flavor: short sellers getting forced out, as opposed to fresh buying. CoinGlass data shows more than $500 million in liquidations across crypto in the past 24 hours—positions an exchange force-closes when a trader can no longer cover losses—and $416 million of that came from short bets that prices would fall, versus just $92 million in longs. More than 119,000 traders were liquidated in the past day.

The liquidation cascade has been sudden, with the bulk of those short bets force-closed in just the last hour: more than $329 million in shorts were liquidated in the past hour, with $86 million coming from Bitcoin bets alone.

That amounts to a short squeeze: rising prices force short sellers to buy back their positions to limit losses, and that buying pushes prices up even further. Because that kind of rally is fueled by forced buying rather than new demand, moves driven by squeezes can fade quickly once the forced buying runs out. It's the same mechanic that drove a $570 million liquidation wave last month, when Bitcoin rebounded from around $57,000.

What's next

The next test comes quickly. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the August jobs report Friday morning, the last major economic release before the Fed's September 15-16 meeting.

Waller himself expects little change: job creation has averaged 60,000 a month through July, and unemployment held at 4.1%.

A weak reading wouldn't be unprecedented. July's jobs miss knocked rate-hike odds down on its own the month before—proof that a single report can move the number as much as a Fed speech can.