NewsCryptoBitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision and US Midterms

Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision and US Midterms

Author: Decrypt·

Key Takeaways

  • •Bitcoin fell to a low of $79,332 before recovering to about $80,240, leaving it down 2.5% over the past week and roughly 36% below its all-time high of $126,080.
  • •U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows exceeding $773 million across Thursday and Friday, though the funds ended the week up about $301 million and remain down roughly $314 million for October.
  • •HashKey senior researcher Tim Sun said the drop was primarily driven by a broader correction in global risk assets, with growing skepticism toward elevated AI-related technology valuations a major factor.
  • •Algoz's Stephen Wundke said Bitcoin must hold the $,000 level to support the bull case, while HashKey's Sun identified $75,000 as a key support level if declines continue.
  • •Analysts expect elevated volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve's Wednesday rate decision and the November 3 U.S. midterm elections, warning that a more hawkish Fed could strengthen the dollar and further pressure risk assets.
Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision and US Midterms

Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000 over the past day before staging a modest recovery, as a sell-off in technology stocks and nervousness ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision weighed on risk assets.

The leading cryptocurrency fell as low as $79,332 before recovering to trade at $80,240, down 2.5% over the past week, according toCoinGecko data](https://decrypt.co/price/bitcoin). It remains about 36% below its all-time high of $126,080.

Analysts warned of further volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Wednesday and the U.S. midterm elections on November 3.

ETF outflows mount

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $635.5 million in net outflows on Thursday, wiping out most of the gains from a three-day run of inflows, followed by a further $137.9 million on Friday, according to SoSoValue. Combined, the two sessions drove more than $773 million out of the funds, leaving October on course for a net loss.

Even so, the funds ended the week up about $301 million, snapping a two-week losing streak, though they remain down roughly $314 million for the month.

Analysts point to broader risk-asset correction

Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey, said the drop was "primarily driven by a broader correction in global risk assets," with growing skepticism toward AI-related technology stocks a major factor.

"Investors are not necessarily questioning the long-term prospects of artificial intelligence, but rather whether current elevated valuations can be justified by future earnings and cash flows," Sun told Decrypt. Outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and the unwinding of leveraged positions "further amplified the downward pressure," he added.

Daniela Hathorn, senior market analyst at Capital.com, said Bitcoin had come under pressure alongside tech stocks. "Persistent inflation, elevated Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening have reduced enthusiasm for speculative assets," she told Decrypt.

Bitcoin's key levels

Stephen Wundke, strategy and revenue director at quantitative investment firm Algoz, said $80,000 was a psychologically important mark for many investors but cautioned that a break below it could be misleading, given low trading volumes over weekends.

More worrying, he said, was a broader decline in trading volumes as investors pull out of altcoins and park funds in stablecoins. In his view, Bitcoin needed to hold the $82,000 level, from which it launched rallies in August and September, to support the bull case, and staying below it "could see a broader pullback in the coming weeks while the macro uncertainty remains."

"The bull case for Bitcoin is not dead but it is keeping its head below the parapet whilst so many stray bullets are flying across the globe," Wundke added.

Sun said that if Bitcoin falls further, he sees $75,000 as a key support level to watch, and expects volatility to stay elevated.

Hathorn said the Fed's decision on Wednesday and major technology earnings "could prove just as important for Bitcoin as developments within the cryptocurrency market itself." A more hawkish Fed could strengthen the dollar and weigh on risk assets, she said, while "Bitcoin's recovery may remain fragile unless stronger institutional demand accompanies any improvement in broader market sentiment."