Bitcoin is showing signs of improving momentum on its three-day chart as buyers attempt to regain the $83,000 resistance level, according to crypto analyst EGRAG Crypto. The analyst says a bullish divergence remains in place, although Bitcoin could face significant volatility before any sustained move higher.

EGRAG's outlook does not point to a straightforward recovery. Instead, the analyst expects Bitcoin could first reclaim $83,000 before undergoing another pullback into a support zone between $67,000 and $72,000. Within that range, $70,000 is identified as the preferred level for a potential retest. The scenario remains conditional and depends on how Bitcoin responds to resistance and support levels during the next stages of the market move.

Bullish divergence occurs when an asset's price forms lower lows while a momentum indicator records higher lows. The technical pattern can indicate that selling pressure is losing strength even though price action has yet to establish a confirmed reversal. Divergences are widely watched among technical traders precisely because they can appear well before price confirms a turn, which is why analysts typically wait for additional evidence, such as a reclaim of resistance, before treating the signal as validated. EGRAG's current setup is notable because a previous divergence was followed by a strong Bitcoin recovery. However, historical technical patterns do not guarantee that the cryptocurrency will repeat the same performance.

Bitcoin Support and $83,000 Resistance Shape the Outlook

Bitcoin's 33-period exponential moving average could serve as an important source of dynamic support as the cryptocurrency attempts to challenge $83,000 again. Exponential moving averages weight recent price action more heavily than simple averages, which is why shorter-period EMAs like the 33-period are often used to gauge interim trend shifts, while longer ones such as the 111-period reflect broader trend structure. If the 33-period moving average fails to hold, attention could shift toward the slower 111-period exponential moving average and lower Fibonacci levels. Such a move would be consistent with EGRAG's broader expectation that Bitcoin may need to revisit lower support before establishing a stronger upward trajectory.

The $83,000 level remains particularly important to the technical roadmap. A sustained three-day close above that resistance would provide stronger evidence that buyers have regained control of the area. Until that occurs, the analyst's projected path remains dependent on Bitcoin maintaining key support while building enough momentum for another attempt at the resistance level.

The potential downside zone between $67,000 and $72,000 is therefore central to the outlook, with $70,000 representing the level EGRAG considers optimal for a possible retest.

RSI Structure Could Confirm Bitcoin's Next Move

The relative strength index is another key component of EGRAG's technical analysis. The analyst expects Bitcoin's RSI to maintain a higher low and eventually recover toward the 80 region as confirmation of stronger bullish momentum.

An RSI reading around 80 is traditionally associated with overbought conditions. However, strong trends can keep momentum indicators at elevated levels for extended periods. As a result, the overall structure of the indicator may be more important than treating the 80 threshold alone as an automatic signal for a reversal. A higher RSI low would support the existing bullish divergence, while a lower low could weaken confidence in the setup.

If Bitcoin can also secure a sustained three-day close above $83,000, the combination of price and momentum would provide stronger technical confirmation of the bullish scenario outlined by EGRAG.

Beyond that resistance, the analyst's chart identifies higher Fibonacci extension levels around $109,000, $126,000 and $147,000 under a stronger expansion scenario. Fibonacci extensions are a common charting tool used by analysts to project potential areas of interest beyond prior highs, but they represent mapped levels rather than forecasts of where price will trade. Those targets remain conditional rather than confirmed price objectives, as Bitcoin would first need to reclaim $83,000 and maintain sufficient momentum.

For now, the technical roadmap centers on three key areas: support around $70,000, the 33-period EMA and a sustained move above $83,000. The interaction between those levels and Bitcoin's RSI structure will determine whether the current bullish divergence develops into a broader recovery or loses strength. As with any single-analyst technical framework, the scenario is one interpretation of current price structure rather than a consensus view, and traders typically weigh such setups alongside broader market conditions.

Writer: Marcus Renfield, Crypto Market Analyst & Onchain Writer