Bessent Says the United States Can Grow Out of $40 Trillion in National Debt
Key Takeaways
- •U.S. gross national debt surpassed $40 trillion this week, rising from $39 trillion five months earlier and more than doubling over the past decade.
- •Bessent linked roughly $100 billion of the recent increase to refunds required after the Supreme Court ruled that emergency tariffs imposed under IEEPA were not authorized.
- •Annual net interest payments on the debt have reached about $1 trillion, exceeding recent defense spending, and the debt-to-output ratio now stands above its post-World War II peak.
- •Moody's stripped the United States of its triple-A rating in May, becoming the last of the three major credit rating agencies to do so, citing deficits and rising interest costs.
- •Treasury intends to expand buyback operations for longer-dated securities from a previous maximum of $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation to support trading liquidity.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the United States can grow its way out of a national debt that has reached $40 trillion, pointing to tariffs and broader economic expansion as central parts of that strategy. His remarks came shortly after official data confirmed the debt milestone.
In a recent interview, Bessent said there was nothing inherently transformative about the $40 trillion figure. He argued that sustained growth, together with tariff revenue, would allow the country to manage and gradually reduce the debt burden relative to the economy over time. The comments were shared in data circulating on X and later covered by outlets including hokanews.
National Debt Tops $40 Trillion
According to Treasury Department figures, the gross national debt surpassed $40 trillion this week. The total was only $39 trillion in March, five months earlier. Over the past decade, the debt has more than doubled, reflecting cumulative deficits driven by spending, revenue shortfalls, and economic conditions across successive administrations. The total now stands at more than 120 percent of annual U.S. economic output, a ratio above its post–World War II peak, and annual net interest payments on the debt have climbed to roughly $1 trillion, exceeding what the government spent on defense in recent fiscal years.
Bessent said part of the recent increase was tied to temporary factors. He pointed to refunds ordered after a Supreme Court ruling that struck down certain emergency tariffs imposed under the current administration, a decision that held the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not authorize those levies. Those refunds totaled about $100 billion. He also said tariff income in 2026 is expected to return to levels similar to 2025 as duties are reimplemented through established trade processes, including Section 301 measures, the statute used for tariffs on Chinese goods since 2018.
Tariffs and Growth in the Fiscal Strategy
Bessent linked the path forward to higher tariff receipts and stronger economic growth, which he said would widen the tax base. He described policies such as immediate expensing for factories, equipment, and farm structures as investments rather than pure spending, arguing that they would help build future productive capacity. The administration has also outlined fiscal consolidation efforts aimed at reducing the deficit as a share of gross domestic product. The growth-first framing echoes a historical reference point often cited in these debates: the debt burden fell sharply relative to the economy in the decades after World War II, largely through expansion and inflation rather than large-scale repayment.
In calendar year 2025, the deficit was about 5.7 percent of GDP after earlier consolidation steps. Bessent said he believes the deficit under the current administration has a strong chance of having peaked. He also referred to work with other officials on measures that could produce hundreds of billions of dollars in savings through targeted reviews of spending and efficiency. Independent scorekeepers provide the yardstick for such claims: the Congressional Budget Office's baseline projections show debt held by the public continuing to rise over the coming decade under current law, driven largely by interest costs and spending tied to an aging population.
A significant share of the overall debt is held in intragovernmental accounts, including Social Security trust funds, rather than solely by external investors. Bessent has pointed to that distinction when discussing the publicly traded portion of the debt, the share that must be absorbed by investors in the market.
Bond Market Conditions and Treasury Response
The debt milestone came as longer-dated Treasury yields remained elevated and concerns persisted about liquidity in parts of the bond market. Fiscal pressures have also drawn attention from credit rating firms: in May, Moody's cut the United States from its top triple-A rating, the last of the three major agencies to do so, citing deficits and rising interest costs.
In response, the Treasury said it planned to expand its buyback operations for longer-dated securities, raising the scale from a previous maximum of $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, with room for additional increases. The buyback program, which Treasury relaunched in 2024 as its first regular repurchase operations since 2002, is designed in part to support trading liquidity in older securities, a consideration for a market that serves as the benchmark for pricing everything from mortgages to corporate bonds.
Bessent has said market pricing does not fully reflect underlying fundamentals and that improved liquidity measures are part of the broader strategy. The administration continues to present economic growth as the primary way to address the debt trajectory, with tariffs providing a supporting revenue stream.
The $40 trillion level marks a major fiscal milestone. Officials are continuing to monitor deficit-to-GDP ratios, interest costs, and revenue performance as indicators of progress toward stabilizing the debt path, with regular checkpoints including the Treasury's monthly budget statements, its quarterly refunding announcements, and updated Congressional Budget Office baselines. More details on consolidation measures and tariff implementation are expected in the coming months as policy efforts continue.