Australia’s 40-Year Economic Outlook Flags AI Revolution, Omits Crypto
Key Takeaways
- •Australia's latest Intergenerational Report identifies artificial intelligence as one of five major transitions that will shape the nation's economy over the next 40 years, with no reference to crypto or digital assets.
- •The Treasury document characterizes agentic AI systems as having become significantly more capable and autonomous, even surpassing human-level performance on some benchmarks.
- •The other four transitions highlighted in the report are geopolitical conflicts, an aging population, the shift to clean energy, and an industrial transformation toward services.
- •Coinbase Australia country director John O'Loghlen argued the report overlooks the financial infrastructure AI agents will require, urging the same regulatory focus given to the Digital Asset Platform framework be applied to stablecoin and tokenized market rules.
- •The Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre estimates digital finance innovations could deliver 24 billion Australian dollars ($171 billion) in annual economic gains, and a separate Treasury Financial Innovation Strategy ties agentic systems to rising demand for real-time, interoperable and programmable payment systems.

Australia’s new 40-year economic outlook has named artificial intelligence as one of five major transitions expected to profoundly reshape the nation’s economy — while making no mention of crypto.
The latest Intergenerational Report, published on Monday by the Australian Treasury, described agentic AI systems as having become “significantly” more capable, autonomous and widely used, surpassing human-level performance on some benchmarks. It identified the other defining transitions as geopolitical conflicts, an aging population, a shift to clean energy, and Australia’s industrial transformation toward services. The full document is available as a PDF.
“The Intergenerational Report makes it clear that Australia’s prosperity over the next 40 years will depend heavily on our ability to adopt new technology and lift productivity,” Coinbase Australia country director John O’Loghlen said in emailed comments. “And while the report focuses heavily on artificial intelligence, it completely misses the financial infrastructure those agents will need.”
The omission is consistent with previous editions of the Intergenerational Report, which have also not addressed digital assets. It came despite the Reserve Bank of Australia increasing its focus on tokenized finance and financial infrastructure upgrades earlier this year, and despite the Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre’s estimate that digital finance innovations could generate 24 billion Australian dollars ($171 billion) in annual economic gains.
A separate Treasury report, the Financial Innovation Strategy released on Sept. 3, does address the link between AI and financial infrastructure. It said agentic systems could increase automated and machine-to-machine transactions, creating greater demand for real-time, interoperable and programmable payment systems. That report provides a separate policy context for the infrastructure concerns raised by O’Loghlen, linking the development of agentic systems with the design of future payment rails.
“We’ve made good progress in recent years, including through the Digital Asset Platform framework, which has provided necessary regulatory clarity,” O’Loghlen added. “The opportunity now is to bring the same focus to the tokenized stored-value facility framework for stablecoins, and clear rules for tokenized markets. Those are the rails digital finance — agentic finance included — will run on and getting them right is how Australia turns this opportunity into reality.”
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Source: Cointelegraph