NewsMacroTuesday assorted links

Tuesday assorted links

Author: Marginal Revolution·

Key Takeaways

  • The article includes a talk about operating a startup with AI agents and no employees, framed as part of the “one-person unicorn” debate.
  • It cites a Swiss judge using AI to help determine sentences, an experiment in a high-risk area of justice administration under the EU AI Act framework.
  • One linked essay argues that effective altruists should pay more attention to fertility decline, noting that UN projections show falling fertility in more countries.
  • Another item says Nvidia’s contribution may be missing from U.S. GDP figures, reflecting a broader debate over how national accounts capture fast-moving technology investment.
  • The list also points to ongoing discussion of U.S. Treasuries, fiscal deficits, and whether AI should be controlled through legal “fences” rather than technical sandboxes.
Tuesday assorted links
  1. How to run a start-up with AI agents and zero employees (video talk): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9XtI6IGlU8. A concrete entry in the running "one-person unicorn" debate over how much of a company's work AI agents can absorb before headcount stops mattering.

  2. "Elon of the bird world" (Times of London):

  3. A Swiss judge using AI to help set sentences (in German): And in French: A hands-on courtroom experiment in a domain the EU AI Act classifies as high-risk — AI used in the administration of justice — though Switzerland itself is not an EU member.

  4. Arguably, effective altruism philanthropists should obsess over fertility decline at least as much as X risk: Part of a wider turn among some EA-adjacent thinkers toward demographics, as UN projections show fertility falling below replacement level in a growing share of countries.

  5. Much of Nvidia’s contribution has been missing from U.S. GDP figures: The latest entry in the long-running debate over whether national accounts keep up with fast-scaling tech investment, echoing earlier arguments that GDP misses value from free digital services.

  6. One set of worries about Treasuries, possibly exaggerated. And Druckenmiller on the bond market (WSJ): https://x.com/andreassteno/status/2091997976780837053?s=46&t=fSypFxt84bBHId-do9r5Ag and Druckenmiller, the billionaire investor, has made U.S. fiscal deficits a repeated public theme in recent years, so this continues a running argument rather than marking a new position.

  7. Governing AIs by law?: Yegge, a veteran software engineer and prolific essayist on AI coding agents, contrasts legal-style "fences" with technical "sandboxes" as approaches to controlling what AI systems can do.