新聞宏觀經濟北卡羅來納州川普選民對伊朗戰爭與經濟成本表達不滿

北卡羅來納州川普選民對伊朗戰爭與經濟成本表達不滿

作者: Alternet·

重點速覽

  • 根據MSNOW節目中引用的Politico民調,五分之一自認MAGA的選民希望伊朗戰爭立即結束。
  • 目前只有三分之一MAGA選民認為伊朗戰爭值得付出經濟成本,較5月下降13個百分點;當時超過半數表示支持。
  • Fox News民調發現,53 percent的選民會支持其眾議院選區的民主黨候選人,這是自1996年以來Fox一般選票民調中任一政黨取得的最高比例。
  • MSNOW訪問的北卡羅來納州選民指出,戰爭的$37.5 billion成本及其與汽油價格上漲的關聯,是主要不滿來源。
  • 共和黨策略師Susan del Percio將伊朗衝突與先前的'forever wars'作對比,主張政府尚未充分解釋美國介入的理由。
北卡羅來納州川普選民對伊朗戰爭與經濟成本表達不滿

MSNOW週四播出一段節目,北卡羅來納州選民在其中描述他們對與伊朗戰爭及其所稱隨之而來的經濟後果感到“angst”。一名自稱支持President Donald Trump的女性表示,她來自一個支持川普的家庭,但全家都已對他的表現感到“disillusioned”。

這段節目是在一場關於戰爭的小組討論中播出的。記者Molly Jong-Fast指出,“Politico had a poll that came out yesterday, and it showed that 1 in 5 self-identified MAGA voters wants this war over today.” 主持人Antonia Hylton表示,Trump試圖“rhetorically work his way out of accountability on this”,並提到他最近聲稱,雖然“voters are stressed about gas prices”,但“they're not unsupportive of the war”。

MSNOW訪問的北卡羅來納州選民所給出的回應,與總統的說法相反。他們的評論也凸顯出,政府對這場戰爭的處理不僅被視為外交政策議題,也被選民視為經濟議題,因為他們正將軍事成本與家庭支出一併衡量。

“My opinion on the war,” 一名女性說,“It's an unnecessary war that should never have taken place.”

當另一名受訪者被問及這場戰爭不斷上升的$37.5 billion成本是否本可用於其他需求時,她回答說,“Roads, schools, lower prices, anything but this.”

第三名明顯情緒激動的女性給出的回答,反映出部分MAGA選民對局勢的不滿。當被問到這場戰爭是否以任何方式改善了她的生活時,她搖頭並說,“No. For one thing, it causes me angst. Makes me angry. I'm very disillusioned. My entire family is disillusioned. And we are and were Trump supporters.”

共和黨策略師Susan del Percio表示,她對這種反應並不意外。她將當前衝突與先前的“forever wars”作對比,稱在那些情況下,公眾至少曾被告知美國為何介入。但就伊朗而言,她說,“We entered this war for no reason that Trump can properly explain.”

Del Percio也將這場衝突與選民對燃油成本的擔憂聯繫起來。“When we look at gas prices[,] they went up, they went up, went up, they ticked down. We never see gas prices go up, go up, tick down and then tick back up so quickly, which tells the American public that this war is directly in correlation,” 她說。

Jong-Fast表示,最新民調顯示,只有三分之一自認MAGA的選民認為這場戰爭值得付出經濟成本。她形容這較5月下降13個百分點,當時超過半數MAGA選民在此議題上支持Trump。川普自身基本盤內部的這種變化,是該節目聚焦於自認支持者、而非僅著眼於民主黨或獨立選民批評的關鍵原因。

Fox News的另一項民調也顯示出對總統不利的數據,一名主要政治記者稱這些結果是“end days for GOP”。

根據Fox的說法,“If the election were today, 53 percent of voters would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 46 percent the Republican. That 7-point edge is just outside the poll’s margin of error. Democrats were up by 5 points in April. Notably, 53 percent is the highest percentage either party has received on the generic House ballot in Fox News polling since 1996.”

Fox民調還發現,“Trump’s job approval remains near a record low, more Democrats are motivated to vote, Republicans join Democrats and independents in rating the economy negatively, and 4 in 10 voters want ‘dramatic’ or ‘revolutionary’ change.” 連同MSNOW的訪談,這些民調指向白宮面臨的同一個壓力點:Trump能否在那些表示戰爭成本已在國內被感受到的選民之中,維持對戰爭的支持。