一名前共和黨幕僚表示，即將到來的期中選舉可能會對 GOP 發出重大警訊，眾議院與參議院都可能出現失利。

反川普組織 The Lincoln Project 的共同創辦人 Rick Wilson，在與記者 Wajahat Ali 的 Substack 影片對談中作出上述評論。The Lincoln Project 於 2020 年大選前由反對當時總統 Trump 的共和黨人與前共和黨人發起，之後持續製作競選風格廣告，鎖定與 Trump 結盟的共和黨候選人。Wilson 曾長期擔任共和黨策略師，參與州級與全國層級選戰，後來因共和黨與 President Donald Trump 的結盟而與該黨決裂；他說明共和黨可能很快面對一個變動中的選舉版圖。期中選舉歷來對執政白宮的政黨不利，而 Wilson 的評估顯示，他認為在目前情況下，這一模式可能會進一步加劇。

"They're going to get blown out in the House," Wilson said. "Now, is it going to be a 40-seat blowout? It's probably not. The other redistricting s--- has given them a few of those seats. But I think you're going to see a lot of seats that are going to end up being much bigger."

Wilson predicted that the competitive map could broaden in ways that surprise observers. "You're going to see some real surprises as the map expands," he said. "You're going to see some states where the Democrats have no business performing like they do. And I'm going to take a very counterfactual point from a lot of establishment folks right now. I think El-Sayed is going to blow it out in Michigan."

對 Trump 以及支持他的 GOP 領袖出現的反彈，可能會加速這一變化，Wilson 認為。他表示，模仿總統風格的共和黨候選人有可能疏遠選民。

"People who have decided they're going to imitate Trump, even in very red states and districts, and try to be a mini-Trump, eventually run into a wall," Wilson said.

"They're going to ride Trump all the way down," he added.

至於參議院，Wilson 承認結果仍有不確定性，但他暗示，情勢對民主黨的有利程度，可能比許多共和黨人願意承認的還要高。

"I'm not going to say that we're going to get it, but we're going to tie it. And I'll take a tie ballgame at this point," he said.

完整討論標題為 "Trump and MAGA Double Down on Death and Disaster with Rick Wilson"，可在 Rick Wilson 與 THE LEFT HOOK with Wajahat Ali 的直播影片錄製版本中，於 Substack 觀看。