维多利亚，塞舌尔，2026 年 7 月 23 日 — 前西班牙前锋 Fernando Llorente 表示，西班牙对阵法国时最重要的成就，正是英格兰在对阵阿根廷取得领先后停止去做的事情：保持控球并掌控比赛节奏。

在 Zoomex World Cup Edition X Space 第五期也是最后一期节目中，Llorente 表示，英格兰以 1-0 领先后便退回防守阵型，依靠五名后卫以及疲惫的 Harry Kane 作为唯一出球点。他说，阿根廷随后三十分钟承受压力、等待机会，并在机会出现时高效完成终结。Llorente 表示，英格兰拥有可以选择另一种踢法的球员。

Llorente 在西班牙与阿根廷世界杯决赛前传达的信息是，西班牙不应做出同样的选择。他此前已记录下西班牙 2-1 获胜的预测，并表示最好的防守方式是用控球来防守。

Zoomex 举办此次 X Space 是其 World Cup Impact Pledge 的一部分。讨论嘉宾包括世界杯冠军 Fernando Llorente、足球评论员 Juan、Gran Mussama 和 Miguel Serrano TV，以及从波士顿连线主持的 Fernando Lillo Aranda。该 X Space 可通过 https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1vJpPPeNrrPJE 收听。

X Spaces 是 X 上的实时音频直播功能，使品牌、主持人和嘉宾能够围绕重大事件开展公开讨论。在本次活动中，Zoomex 使用这一形式，将足球评论、观众互动以及与最后一期节目预测挂钩的承诺结合起来。

本场活动也为与该系列每一期节目相关的五部分慈善倡议画上句号。随着 Llorente 预测西班牙 2-1 获胜，承诺拨出的 1,000 USDT 将用于支持在委内瑞拉遭受困难的人群，这是 Llorente 的一位朋友最近向他提及的事业。如果预测正确，该拨款将升至 5,000 USDT。

西班牙在重大比赛前的冷静

Fernando Lillo Aranda 多次回到决赛前围绕西班牙的一个核心问题：这样一支年轻球队，如何能在面对法国和阿根廷这样的对手时保持镇定。

Llorente 表示，在为 Dazón 和西班牙电视台报道本届赛事期间，他曾在对阵法国前与西班牙队内人士交流。他们对更衣室氛围的描述，与他之后在球场上看到的情况相符。

“Before the game they already told me that in the changing room they were calm, that they were talking about their things, jokes, stories and such. It surprises me, the attitude so relaxed they have before such an important game, and then how much they came out, because in that sense we were much more involved than the French in the game. They came out winning all the duels. It seemed to me that we were much more involved than them.”

开球前，Llorente 表示，他原本预计西班牙会因法国前锋的速度和进攻能力而陷入困难，其中包括 Mbappé、Olise、Dembélé 和 Barcola。他还认为，法国的反击威胁以及中场失误带来的风险是重大隐患。

但他说，西班牙通过控球、打乱法国偏好的节奏，并阻止法国发挥其最强特点，从而控制了比赛。

“These guys are surprising me. The ability they have to play these types of games in which there is so much pressure, they play as if they were playing with friends, with a naturalness, with a confidence that escapes me.”

Llorente 还称赞了 Rodri，并表示 Rodri 在赛事期间逐渐恢复到最佳状态。他将西班牙对阵法国的第二个进球描述为球队整体风格的体现。

“From the goal, defense, midfield, how they break the middle, Fabián, the pass, the wall of Porro. It was pure caviar.”

他说，西班牙不断进行位置轮换，后卫进入中场，中场球员来到进攻区域，球员之间流畅地交换角色，使对手难以明确固定的盯防责任。

英格兰的退守与阿根廷的回应

讨论的一个重要部分集中在英格兰负于阿根廷的比赛上，该场比赛发生在前一晚。Llorente 将其作为一个例子，说明球队在面对阿根廷保护领先优势时应避免什么。

“I think that England made a mistake. In the end, you score a goal and you think that with that it is already done. And in the end what you cannot allow yourself is to get behind and let Argentina dominate you. They had players on the bench, an incredible squad to have done something different. Players who were still tired, I would have brought players up quickly. Having had players up quickly could have put Argentina in serious trouble. Saka, Rashford left too late, Madueke. Players who could have killed them on the counter, and yet they took out five defenders, 5-4-1, which in the end, apart from Harry Kane up there, who was already very tired, without a counter-attack exit.”

Miguel Serrano TV 引用比赛数据来支持这一观点。在最后十五分钟，英格兰控球率只有十二个百分点，而阿根廷控球率达到八十八个百分点。英格兰在最后十分钟只完成了两次有效传球，其中一次来自门将 Jordan Pickford。

Miguel 表示，比赛末段的防守换人向阿根廷传递了一个明确的信息。在他看来，这个信息不是“我们在保护领先优势”，而是“来进攻我吧，因为我就守在这里”。阿根廷也据此作出了回应。

Gran Mussama 将英格兰的做法比作 Diego Someone 的 Atlético Madrid。

“When he is winning, when he goes 1-0 with a very tight result, they fall back and the opposing team sees it. Either a guy with a good shot or someone scores a goal and they keep closing until he scores.”

Gran Mussama 表示，回撤得更深只会鼓励对手施加更多压力。

Llorente 将 Lionel Messi、Enzo Fernandez 和 Alexis Mac Allister 视为阿根廷最具影响力的球员。在谈到 Mac Allister 的作用时，他强调了那些他认为常常未受到公众足够关注的工作。

“Enzo yesterday moved the team as he wanted, always seeing when Messi was alone, and at the last minute how he went to the right wing because there Messi was all the time alone, and from there they raised the whole play.”

他补充说：“The opportunities he had yesterday to score a goal was incredible. It is going to be a very complicated game because they have that ability to get out of trouble. If you give them the smallest minimum option to return to the game they are very dangerous.”

Llorente 表示，西班牙在决赛中的优先事项应当很明确。

“We do not have to get into their game. They have to leave with the same mentality they had against France. Being ready in the duels, reading where the balls can fall to get there before them. Keep dominating the game and not give them too many options. Don’t make mistakes, that’s the main thing in a final like this.”

禁区内的前锋技术

本场活动中最具技术性的部分之一，聚焦于前锋在禁区内的跑动。Fernando Lillo Aranda 询问 Llorente，在 Lautaro Martínez 据称受到盯防的情况下，Lionel Messi 为阿根廷头球扳平比分是如何发生的。

Llorente 表示，后卫在恰当时机的一次触碰，即便接触很小，也可能干扰前锋完成射门。

“When the strikers enter the area, what complicates your life the most is to have the defender already touching you and bothering you? If before the centre, to anything, you give a little touch to the striker, he is dead. When it happened to me playing, that is the worst thing they can do to you. You have to try to gain space so that the defender does not bother you, because if when you are jumping the minimum touch already makes it very difficult for you to finish.”

Llorente 表示，他的身体条件经常帮助他在禁区内创造空间，但经验丰富的后卫仍然可以在头球或射门前通过恰到好处的接触化解进攻机会。

“I remember that when I was going to the shot, suddenly the side from the opposite side comes at you. I always tried to look for the back of the defenders. When the side comes on the other side that you do not see it and gives you a little touch before the shot, you were dead. There were sides that did it very well. Very smart people who bothered you at that moment and you have nothing to do.”

他还描述了后卫应如何在禁区内应对前锋。

“When you are defending and the striker enters the area, do not focus only on the centre. Do not neglect. The striker is going to try to take your back and take advantage of that. You have to be touching him, grabbing, looking at the centre and the player who is going to score. Because a lot of people accumulate, one thinks it belongs to one defender, the other thinks it belongs to the other, and in the end the striker finishes without a mark.”

Llorente 表示，这类场景解释了阿根廷的扳平进球。当禁区内有多名球员且没有明确盯防者时，Alexis Mac Allister 后插上进入禁区，尽管他并不是场上最高的球员之一，却处于无人盯防状态。

Van Dijk、Chiellini 与防守挑战

在快问快答环节中，Fernando Lillo Aranda 问 Llorente，本届世界杯上哪名后卫是他最不想面对的。Llorente 立即提到了 Virgil van Dijk，并指出他的力量和运动能力。

“When I went to the Premier League, I was very surprised by how strong all the defenders were, they were all big, even bigger than me, stronger. He seemed to me to be a barbarity. Not only how strong he was, how fast he was, because he’s very fast in the long run. He’s a very complete defender.”

Llorente 回忆了他效力 Swansea、对阵 Southampton 时与 Van Dijk 的第一次交手。

“In my first game, I was at Swansea against him, and he was at Southampton. In the first clash that happened, he put his elbow in my ribs and fractured one of my ribs. I found out later. At that moment, I held on as best I could. He fell to the ground, I did my best, but the pain I was in was terrible. And then I played the next game, I scored my first goal against City, and I had to stop for a month because I couldn’t take the pain anymore.”

他说，从西班牙足球转到英超后，英超的身体对抗强度需要适应；在西班牙足球中，他认为身体接触通常更容易处理。

“I told my teammates to shoot me from below, because from above it was complicated.”

虽然 Van Dijk 以身材、速度和力量突出，Llorente 表示 Giorgio Chiellini 则因其不知疲倦的防守方式带来了另一种难度。

“The first time I faced him was in an Italy-Spain, in a friendly. It was terrible. How does that mark you? Surely, that’s the most sticky one, the one that hits you the most. The other one is stronger, but he doesn’t hit you as much. Chiellini is exaggerated. He doesn’t let you breathe.”

Llorente 表示，他在 Juventus 与 Chiellini、Leonardo Bonucci 和 Andrea Barzagli 做了两个赛季队友，这让他直接体验到了意大利防守的高标准。

Rodri、Busquets 与西班牙中场

Gran Mussama 请 Llorente 比较巅峰 Rodri 和巅峰 Sergio Busquets。Llorente 表示，直接比较对两名球员都不公平。

“We can be talking about the two best midfielders in the world. At that time, we also not only had Busi, but Xabi Alonso, we had many options there, not just Busi. But Rodri is impressive. Unlike Busi, perhaps he has more travel, he is physically stronger. It is incredible how he is able to be everywhere. He also has the reliability in passes. I think he has more than 90% success in passes, which is incredible. I think he is the one with the most in the world.”

Llorente 表示，Rodri 恢复到最佳状态，已成为西班牙在本届赛事中的最大积极因素之一。

“Perhaps it is the great news of Spain. Seeing Rodri again at his best is one of the keys for me.”

在此前存在伤病担忧之后，Rodri 表现提升的时间点与西班牙在本届赛事中最强势的几场比赛相吻合。

Llorente 还称赞了 Mikel Oyarzabal 的技术能力和集体意识。

“I am in love with how he plays, and more of how he plays, with his attitude. He is a boy who does not think about himself, he thinks only about the collective, about the team, about working. I love how he moves, how many times he goes down between the lines, helping the team to get out from behind. In the end, he gathers a lot of people in the centre of the field. The positions are rotated and that makes it very difficult for the defenders. Many times they do not know who to mark.”

Llorente 将 Oyarzabal 的跑动以及西班牙的战术流动性，与足球运动更广泛的变化联系起来。

“Nowadays they work a lot on the tactical issue, they tell them more or less what to do in the field, more mechanical movements, and a little creativity is taken away from the player. In Spain, I see that they interpret the game very well. They let each one take out the best that he has, or his creativity inside the field.”

现代足球的变化

Juan 问 Llorente，与他的球员时代相比，现代足球是否变得更注重身体对抗，或者说整体水平提高后，个人技术发挥空间变得更小。

Llorente 表示，足球之所以演变，是因为准备、体能训练和对细节的重视变得更加重要。

“The details are taken care of more and more. All the players already have nutritionists, their diets, their individualised work, which before was impossible. I remember when I started, we would go out to the field and we would start shooting without warming up, without doing anything. Today you already have a pre-activation in the gym, then you go out, you have another warm-up when you go out to the field. They take great care of the details.”

他说，这些变化已经改变了比赛。

“Football is evolving. The fact of taking care of the details also makes you train more and better. The players are better physically, they take better care of themselves, everything is much more professionalised. It is more physical, you run more and every time everyone goes further to the limit. That is clear. That is why there is also so much equality, despite the fact that there are better teams than others.”

回顾自己作为传统中锋的特点，Llorente 表示，能够依靠身体优势控制长传并让队友参与进攻的前锋，正变得越来越少见。

“Every time I see a long ball and there is a duel, normally the defenders win it. The one who plays from the back is a striker. It is complicated today to see a striker who, every time there is a long ball, keeps it and is able to give the team a way out from above.”

Llorente 补充说，许多顶级俱乐部都试图效仿 Barcelona 以控球为基础、从后场组织进攻的模式。因此，他说，现代足球中的许多进球如今来自组织阶段的失误，而非传统进攻套路。

预测、金靴之争与 Messi 的未来

讨论最后，嘉宾们给出了对世界杯决赛的预测。Llorente 已在 FIFA 平台提交了西班牙 2-1 取胜的预测。Miguel Serrano TV 预测将谨慎地以 1-0 取胜，并提及 Johannesburg 2010 以及在足球最大比赛前管理预期的重要性。Juan 预测 3-1 取胜，而 Gran Mussama 预测如果西班牙早早进球，比分会是 4-0。Fernando Lillo Aranda 表示，如果这一预测成真，他愿意在 Gran Mussama 选择的任何地方请他吃牛排。

Gran Mussama 后来将预测改为西班牙 4-1 获胜，Lionel Messi 进球。

“Since he’s retiring as the best in history and didn’t play in the World Cup.”

这一预测被记录下来。

随后讨论转向金靴奖之争。Miguel Serrano TV 表示，Kylian Mbappé、Lionel Messi 和 Erling Haaland 各自打入八球。随着 Haaland 和 Mbappé 被淘汰，Messi 成为唯一仍有竞争资格的球员，因此是该奖项的热门。Mikel Oyarzabal 打入五球，需要在决赛中上演帽子戏法才能追平。

嘉宾们表示，如果西班牙赢得世界杯，他们可以接受 Messi 获得金靴，同时也承认 Oyarzabal 在决赛中打入三球的可能性不大。

Miguel 还讨论了围绕阿根廷、裁判判罚以及社交媒体叙事的持续争论。他提到 Lionel Messi 在阿根廷于 2019 Copa América 半决赛出局后的评论，当时 Messi 批评了他认为有利于巴西的腐败和裁判判罚。Miguel 表示，当前关于阿根廷的许多争论呼应了 Messi 此前表达过的担忧。他说，足球历史常常重演，而夺冠球队不可避免地会成为不同叙事竞争的对象。

谈话最后讨论了 Messi 的未来以及他再次参加 FIFA World Cup 的可能性。考虑到 Messi 到 2030 年预计将是 41 或 42 岁，嘉宾们普遍认为再次参加世界杯的可能性不大。Gran Mussama 表示，Major League Soccer 没有保持同样的竞争强度；而 Juan 表示，如果阿根廷赢下这场决赛，Messi 的传奇地位已经完整。Juan 认为 2028 Copa América 可能是一个更现实的国际赛目标。

Zoomex Space 的核心启示

在整个 Zoomex World Cup Edition X Space 中，足球分析回到一个核心主题：成功的球队会在压力下坚持自己的计划。

Llorente 以英格兰对阿根廷的换人为例，说明一种策略因焦虑而非信心发生了改变。他表示，英格兰的战术决定没有维持控制，反而招致阿根廷持续施压，并改变了场上传递给双方球队的信息。

他将这种做法与西班牙面对法国前的心态进行对比。Llorente 描述了一个充满平静交谈、玩笑和信心的更衣室，尽管比赛意义重大。在他看来，这种氛围显示出球队信任自己的准备工作。

他说，无论比分如何，计划都应保持不变。无论 1-0 领先还是 1-0 落后，西班牙的身份都不应改变，因为决定性的工作已经通过备战、训练和有纪律的决策完成。

“You have to play a game like the one we played against France. We practically did not make mistakes. Because if you lose the ball in a field where they can catch you in some counterattack with spaces, they are still a dangerous team.”

Llorente 总结说，有纪律的执行意味着贯彻原定计划。在压力下偏离计划，可能为阿根廷这样的精英球队创造可利用的机会。

Gran Mussama 的 4-0 预测仍有记录，晚餐赌约也有人见证。Llorente 对西班牙 2-1 取胜的预测意味着，如果预测正确，5,000 USDT 将与委内瑞拉受助人群的支持挂钩。

关于 Zoomex

Zoomex 成立于 2021 年，是一家专注于衍生品交易的全球加密货币交易平台。该平台服务于 35 多个国家和地区的 300 多万用户，并提供 590 多个交易对。Zoomex 表示，其平台围绕易用性、透明度、公平性和速度构建，旨在为全球用户提供清晰高效的交易体验。

Zoomex 运行高性能撮合引擎，并提供透明的资产展示、订单信息、费用结构和交易规则，旨在帮助用户了解账户余额、订单执行、交易成本和交易结果。

该平台在多个司法管辖区保持注册、牌照和监管状态，包括 U.S. MSB、Canada MSB、U.S. NFA 和 Australia AUSTRAC。Zoomex 还完成了由区块链安全公司 Hacken 进行的安全审计，并表示将继续通过 Proof of Reserves、Security & Transparency、Compliance Information 和 Fees / Rules Transparency 等举措强化其信任框架。

除加密货币交易外，Zoomex 还通过与精英体育领域的合作扩大其品牌影响力，包括 TGR Haas F1 Team、FIFA World Cup 冠军门将 Emiliano Martínez，以及 Wimbledon 等世界级网球赛事。Zoomex 表示，速度、精准、纪律、公平竞赛和基于规则的执行等价值观，与其衍生品交易方式相一致。

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