НовостиАкцииВойна между Ираном и Израилем уже принесла победителя: крупнейший в мире судовой брокер Clarksons фиксирует рекордную прибыль на фоне «исключительной волатильности» в Ормузском проливе

Война между Ираном и Израилем уже принесла победителя: крупнейший в мире судовой брокер Clarksons фиксирует рекордную прибыль на фоне «исключительной волатильности» в Ормузском проливе

Автор: Fortune Crypto·

Ключевые выводы

  • Clarksons recorded a first-half operating profit of £64,8 million ($87 million), more than 55% higher than a year earlier.
  • Daily traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell from more than 100 ships before the war to about 33, according to Kpler.
  • Sea freight costs near the Strait of Hormuz nearly quadrupled in the first two months of the conflict, largely because of much higher insurance premiums.
  • At the same time, multiple maritime chokepoints — including the Strait of Hormuz, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and Black Sea routes — have been disrupted.
  • CEO Andi Case said Clarksons expects full-year results to be materially ahead of market expectations.
Война между Ираном и Израилем уже принесла победителя: крупнейший в мире судовой брокер Clarksons фиксирует рекордную прибыль на фоне «исключительной волатильности» в Ормузском проливе

По мере того как многомесячная война между Ираном и Израилем продолжает нарушать движение в Ормузском проливе — узком месте, через которое обычно проходит примерно одна пятая мирового потребления нефти, — по меньшей мере одна компания извлекает выгоду из потрясений в мировой торговле.

Clarksons, крупнейший в мире судовой брокер, сообщила о самой высокой в своей истории операционной прибыли в размере £64,8 млн ($87 млн) за шесть месяцев, закончившихся 30 июня, — это более чем на 55% выше, чем годом ранее. Базирующаяся в Великобритании компания, основанная в 1852 году, также увеличила выручку почти на 40% до £413,5 млн ($555,5 млн), согласно ее сообщению о промежуточных результатах.

CEO Andi Case связал этот рост с изменениями в глобальных цепочках поставок, вызванными войной между Ираном и Израилем, которая усилила спрос на услуги судового брокериджа. Судовые брокеры выступают посредниками между судовладельцами, такими как Maersk, и владельцами грузов, например крупными ритейлерами.

"Clarksons delivered a record first half performance, reflecting both the investment into our underlying business and the exceptional volatility caused by the disruption to global trade from global conflict including the situation in the Strait of Hormuz," Case wrote in a statement on Monday. "We expect the full year performance of the Group to be materially ahead of market expectations."

Case added that the disruptions have "created a pronounced shock across global shipping markets," reshaping trade routes and triggering a "period of operational dislocation" that was followed by rising freight rates and increased hedging activity.

Since the war began in February, daily traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped from a prewar level of more than 100 ships to approximately 33, according to maritime data tracker Kpler.

Despite President Donald Trump signaling a resumption of peace talks after canceling a renewed offensive against Iran, disruptions show little sign of abating. Tehran has expanded the conflict across the Gulf region, including Yemen's Houthi movement blockading Saudi Arabian maritime traffic near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Separately, Ukraine's drone attacks on Russia have suspended shipping to Black Sea ports and grain export corridors. The scale of disruption echoes other recent shocks to global shipping — from the 2021 Ever Given blockage of the Suez Canal to the pandemic-era container shortage — though the simultaneous closure of multiple maritime chokepoints marks an unprecedented test of the global logistics network.

These supply-chain disruptions have placed mounting pressure on industries such as aviation — where jet fuel costs have soared — and agriculture, which has faced shortages of key chemicals used in fertilizers due to Strait of Hormuz closures. While those sectors struggle, companies like Clarksons are thriving.

"In any market, any disruptions, obviously, create some kind of a zero-sum game," Jean-Paul Rodrigue, a professor of maritime business administration at Texas A&M University at Galveston, told Fortune. "That is, some actors are losing and the others are gaining the equivalent loss."

Supply, Demand, and Geopolitical Chaos

Rodrigue explained that Clarksons' record-breaking earnings come down to straightforward supply and demand dynamics. With fewer ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the need grows for intermediaries like Clarksons that can connect retailers with vessels still capable of transporting goods. As with any brokerage, Clarksons earns a share of each transaction — so when shipping costs rise, the brokerage's cut rises proportionally.

"When you have geopolitical instability, of course, it disrupts the market," Rodrigue said. "It creates uncertainty. It creates a lack of knowledge because nobody knows what the hell is happening. Uncertainty, therefore, actually increases the importance of such firms because people are getting a bit more desperate."

Uncertainty does not always translate into windfall profits, however. In March 2025, ahead of the Trump administration's steep tariffs and amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, Clarksons cautioned that trade tensions would have an adverse impact on revenues.

The Iran war has produced the opposite effect. Sea freight costs routed near the Strait of Hormuz nearly quadrupled during the first two months of the conflict, according to data from the International Rescue Committee, primarily driven by steep insurance premiums for vessels navigating the region. The elevated demands and costs of doing business created a strong opening for firms like Clarksons.

"They just behave rationally," Rodrigue said. "Market positions change…and when the market position changes, obviously supply and demand change, and those who are at the right end of the stick are going to benefit."

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com.