Bitcoin has shown resilience in recent trading, with the flagship cryptocurrency changing hands at approximately $78,196, a marginal increase over the past 24 hours. The asset recorded an intraday low of $77,320 and a high of $79,340, according to market data.

The broader digital asset market currently has a total capitalization of $2.63 trillion, reflecting a slight contraction of 0.20%. Trading activity, however, has accelerated markedly, with 24-hour volume surging more than 80% to $73.47 billion, a reminder that even in a relatively tight range, participation has been strong enough to keep key support and resistance levels in focus.

Market participants are closely watching key technical levels as Bitcoin approaches significant resistance zones. Analysts say the cryptocurrency has not yet sustainably broken above the $81,000 threshold, and expectations are building for a brief retracement before a possible move toward the $86,000 area. Seasoned traders have said such a pullback would present strategic entry opportunities rather than a reason for concern.

Jack Yi, founder of Liquid Capital, said a retracement toward the $75,500 level would be a favorable point for renewed exposure, while maintaining an optimistic outlook for the next upward leg.

Yi, who entered the Bitcoin mining sector during the 2015 downturn and later captured gains from the 2017 bull cycle, has emphasized the discipline required in trading.

He has said his early successes were largely the result of favorable market conditions rather than his own skill, a realization that led him to study trading mechanics more closely after mixed results across numerous portfolio investments. His comments also reflect a broader market approach that can matter in fast-moving crypto conditions: traders often stay patient through resistance tests and wait for clearer reversal signals before changing directional exposure. Despite expected bearish signals at resistance levels, the prevailing bull market thesis has led strategists to avoid short positions and maintain long exposure until definitive reversal patterns emerge.

X上の投稿で、JackYi（@Jackyi_ld）は中国語で次のように書いた。"正如预期的一样，有了小幅度回调，如果继续回调到755附近，将是很好的新机会，继续看好小幅度回调后的上涨。投资和交易是最难的事，我在2015年BTC低位进圈挖矿，后来成功投资量子等，赶上疯狂的2017年牛市，这完全是运气成分，但是当时我以为是能力，毕竟之前古典行业的创业和投资都有所成。后来疯狂投… " — JackYi (@Jackyi_ld) August 29, 2026

オンチェーン指標が10カ月ぶりの強気シグナルを点灯

最近の価格の安定は、ブロックチェーン由来の分析指標の顕著な変化とも一致している。

CryptoQuantのCEOであるKi Young Ju氏は、2025年10月初旬以来初めて同社のBull/Bear Market Cycle Indicatorがプラスを示したことを受け、Bitcoinの2026年弱気相場は終了したと述べた。この指標は、Market Value to Realized Value比率、Net Unrealized Profit/Loss、Spent Output Profit Ratioなど複数のオンチェーン収益性指標を集計するもので、8月下旬時点で0.042を記録し、10カ月ぶりにプラス圏へ入った。

この数値は、Bitcoinが約$60,000付近で取引されていた2月5日に指標が-1.244まで落ち込んだ極端な弱気環境とは対照的である。持続的なマイナスからプラスへの転換は、歴史的に広範な強気相場の回復と相関しており、2023年初頭に見られた類似のパターンを想起させる。

それでも、一部の市場関係者は、現在の流動性環境では持続的なマクロトレンド反転を十分に支えられない可能性があると警戒している。強気シナリオの妥当性を確認するうえで、出来高の裏付けと資金流入が引き続き重要な変数になるとしている。