NewsCommodities & ForexPBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7817 for today vs. estimate of 6.7262

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7817 for today vs. estimate of 6.7262

Author: ForexLive·

Key Takeaways

  • The PBOC set the USD/CNY central parity rate at 6.7817, coming in 555 pips (roughly 0.8%) weaker than the Reuters estimate of 6.7262.
  • The onshore yuan is permitted to trade within a ±2% band on either side of the daily fixing, a range that has applied since March 2014.
  • Under the mechanism reformed in 2015, the fixing draws guidance from the prior day's close and a basket of trading-partner currencies, with a counter-cyclical factor introduced in 2017.
  • The offshore yuan (CNH) trades outside the onshore band, so the onshore-offshore spread and successive fixings are watched for further policy signals.
  • The PBOC injected 95 billion yuan through 7-day reverse repos at a rate of 1.4%, and weekly open-market operations produced a net draw of 272 billion yuan.
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7817 for today vs. estimate of 6.7262

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has set the USD/CNY central parity reference rate at 6.7817 for today's trading session, against a Reuters estimate of 6.7262. The gap leaves the fixing 555 pips, or roughly 0.8%, weaker than the estimate — a divergence the market tracks closely because the PBOC does not disclose the full calculation behind the rate, making the daily fix one of the few visible read-outs of the central bank's currency stance.

The central bank permits the onshore yuan (CNY) to trade within a +/- 2% range on either side of the daily fixing, a band that has been in place since March 2014. The rate is published each trading day and serves as one of the PBOC's principal tools for managing the currency. Under the mechanism reformed in 2015, the fixing takes guidance from the prior day's close and a basket of trading-partner currencies, and it has at times included a counter-cyclical factor, introduced in 2017, that gives officials scope to lean against market swings. The offshore yuan (CNH), which trades outside mainland China's onshore market, is not subject to the band, which is why the onshore–offshore spread, along with successive daily fixings, is among the markers watched for further policy signals.

In its liquidity operations, the PBOC injected 95 billion yuan through 7-day reverse repos at a rate of 1.4%. Reverse repos are a routine instrument the central bank uses to manage short-term cash conditions in the banking system, and the 7-day operation rate is itself watched as a short-term policy signal. Over the week, open-market operations have resulted in a net draw of 272 billion yuan, a net position that shifts with the volume of maturing operations.

Source: ForexLive