NewsCommodities & ForexNatural Gas Futures Hover Near $3 as Market Braces for EIA Storage Print

Natural Gas Futures Hover Near $3 as Market Braces for EIA Storage Print

Author: Natural Gas Intelligence·

Key Takeaways

  • The U.S. Energy Information Administration releases its weekly natural gas storage report each Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET, a closely watched gauge of supply-demand balance.
  • The market expects a storage injection in the 30s Bcf for the week, well below the seasonal norm of recent years, with NGI forecasting a 31 Bcf build.
  • Late-season heat supporting cooling demand and robust LNG feedgas demand are adding bullish pressure alongside Middle East tensions that have raised questions about global gas supply.
  • How storage tracks relative to the five-year average through the injection season, which typically ends in early November, will be a key variable heading into winter.
Natural Gas Futures Hover Near $3 as Market Braces for EIA Storage Print

Buyers stepped up again early Thursday as the natural gas futures market anticipated a bullish update on volumes of the fuel stored underground ahead of the coming winter heating season.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration's weekly storage report, released each Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET, is a closely watched barometer of supply-demand balance. It takes on added significance in early September, when traders gauge whether inventories are being filled quickly enough ahead of winter withdrawals; this week's print comes as the market expects an injection in the 30s Bcf, well below the seasonal norm of recent years, with NGI forecasting a 31 Bcf build.

At a Glance:

  • Market expects an injection in the 30s Bcf
  • NGI forecasts a 31 Bcf storage build
  • Lower 48 fundamentals are mixed

The stakes are heightened by the week's other moving parts: late-season heat supporting cooling demand, robust LNG feedgas demand, and Middle East tensions that have raised questions about global gas supply. How storage tracks relative to the five-year average through the remainder of the injection season — which typically ends in early November — will be a key variable heading into winter.

By Kevin Dobbs, Natural Gas Intelligence

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Source: Natural Gas Intelligence