Zoomex X Space 回顧 Fernando Llorente 世界盃決賽座談:西班牙對阿根廷賽果預測
重點速覽
- •Fernando Llorente 認為,英格蘭在 1-0 領先後改以五名後衛深度防守,讓阿根廷得以掌控球權並最終把握機會;他指出英格蘭在最後 15 分鐘控球率僅為 12%。
- •Llorente 讚揚西班牙在對法國前的沉著心態,形容更衣室氣氛放鬆,並認為這轉化為場上的控球與對抗勝利。
- •Rodri 在本屆賽事中恢復最佳狀態,被視為西班牙最重要的優勢之一;Llorente 特別提到他的傳球可靠性和中場身體存在感。
- •座談討論了金靴獎競爭,指出在三名同為八球的球員中,Lionel Messi 是熱門,因為 Kylian Mbappé 和 Erling Haaland 已經被淘汰。
- •Llorente 對西班牙 2-1 獲勝的預測與慈善倡議相連;若預測正確,承諾捐助將從 1,000 USDT 提高至 5,000 USDT,用於支援在 Venezuela 遭遇困境的人士。

Fernando Llorente 表示,西班牙從對法國一戰中得到的最重要啟示,正是英格蘭對阿根廷時放棄的同一原則:保持控球。在 Llorente 看來,控球能讓一支球隊掌握比賽節奏,並在不退守到本方禁區的情況下完成防守。
他表示,英格蘭在 1-0 領先後,隨即開始深度防守,場上有五名後衛和一名疲憊的單箭頭前鋒。阿根廷接下來 30 分鐘吸收局勢、等待空間,並在機會出現時把握住。Llorente 認為,英格蘭的陣容深度足以讓他們選擇不同做法。
這就是 Llorente 在世界盃決賽前夕傳達的訊息。當時西班牙正準備面對阿根廷,而他對西班牙 2-1 獲勝的預測已經記錄在案。他的觀點是,最好的防守方式就是用控球來防守。
這樣的脈絡讓 Zoomex World Cup Edition X Space 不只是一次比分預測活動,而更像是對頂級球隊如何管理壓力的戰術回顧。對 Llorente 而言,決賽的關鍵對比不僅是西班牙對阿根廷,也是以控球主導比賽,與過早退守保護領先所帶來風險之間的對比。
本場活動也為伴隨該系列每一集的五部分慈善倡議畫下句點。由於 Llorente 預測西班牙將以 2-1 獲勝,已承諾的 1,000 USDT 配額將用於支援在 Venezuela 遭遇困境的人士,這是他的一位朋友近期向他提起的議題。若預測正確,配額將提高至 5,000 USDT。
西班牙在重大比賽前的沉著
討論期間,Fernando Lillo Aranda 多次回到許多西班牙支持者在世界盃決賽前提出的問題:一支如此年輕的球隊,如何能在面對法國和阿根廷這類對手時保持如此沉著。
Llorente 表示,他在為 Dazón 和西班牙電視台報導賽事時,曾在對法國之戰前與西班牙隊內人士交談。他們對更衣室的描述,與他後來在球場上看到的情況相符。
“Before the game they already told me that in the changing room they were calm, that they were talking about their things, jokes, stories and such. It surprises me, the attitude so relaxed they have before such an important game, and then how much they came out, because in that sense we were much more involved than the French in the game. They came out winning all the duels. It seemed to me that we were much more involved than them.”
開球前,Llorente 表示,他原本預期西班牙會因法國前鋒的速度與進攻質量而遭遇困難,其中包括 Mbappé、Olise、Dembélé 和 Barcola。他也指出,法國的反擊能力,以及中場失誤可能導致攻防轉換的危險,是主要風險。
但他表示,西班牙反而透過控球限制了法國的優勢,並阻止法國以其偏好的節奏比賽。
“These guys are surprising me. The ability they have to play these types of games in which there is so much pressure, they play as if they were playing with friends, with a naturalness, with a confidence that escapes me.”
Llorente 也讚揚 Rodri,稱他在本屆賽事中逐步恢復最佳狀態。他將西班牙對法國的第二個進球形容為球隊整體風格的例子。
“From the goal, defense, midfield, how they break the middle, Fabián, the pass, the wall of Porro. It was pure caviar.”
他表示,西班牙的位置輪轉,包括後衛前插到中場、中場球員進入進攻區域,以及球員不斷交換角色,使對手難以分配明確的防守責任。
英格蘭的退守與阿根廷的回應
本場活動最詳細的部分之一,聚焦於英格蘭前一晚敗給阿根廷的比賽。Llorente 以該場比賽作為例子,說明球隊在試圖保護對阿根廷的領先時應避免哪些做法。
“I think that England made a mistake. In the end, you score a goal and you think that with that it is already done. And in the end what you cannot allow yourself is to get behind and let Argentina dominate you. They had players on the bench, an incredible squad to have done something different. Players who were still tired, I would have brought players up quickly. Having had players up quickly could have put Argentina in serious trouble. Saka, Rashford left too late, Madueke. Players who could have killed them on the counter, and yet they took out five defenders, 5-4-1, which in the end, apart from Harry Kane up there, who was already very tired, without a counter-attack exit.”
Miguel Serrano TV 以比賽數據支持這一觀點。最後 15 分鐘,英格蘭控球率為 12%,阿根廷則為 88%。英格蘭在最後 10 分鐘只完成兩次有效傳球,其中一次來自門將 Jordan Pickford。
Miguel 表示,英格蘭比賽末段的防守換人向阿根廷傳遞了明確訊息。用他的話說,這個訊息不是「我們正在保護這個領先」,而是「來攻擊我,因為我就待在這裡」。阿根廷對這個訊息作出了回應。
Gran Mussama 將英格蘭的做法比作 Diego Someone 的 Atlético Madrid。
“When he is winning, when he goes 1-0 with a very tight result, they fall back and the opposing team sees it. Either a guy with a good shot or someone scores a goal and they keep closing until he scores.”
對 Gran Mussama 而言,退得更深只會鼓勵對手施加更多壓力。
談到阿根廷的優勢時,Llorente 指出 Lionel Messi、Enzo Fernandez 和 Alexis Mac Allister 是隊中最具影響力的球員。談到 Mac Allister 的角色時,他強調了一些他認為較少受到外界關注的工作。
“Enzo yesterday moved the team as he wanted, always seeing when Messi was alone, and at the last minute how he went to the right wing because there Messi was all the time alone, and from there they raised the whole play.”
他補充說:“The opportunities he had yesterday to score a goal was incredible. It is going to be a very complicated game because they have that ability to get out of trouble. If you give them the smallest minimum option to return to the game they are very dangerous.”
隨後,Llorente 概述了西班牙在世界盃決賽中的優先事項。
“We do not have to get into their game. They have to leave with the same mentality they had against France. Being ready in the duels, reading where the balls can fall to get there before them. Keep dominating the game and not give them too many options. Don’t make mistakes, that’s the main thing in a final like this.”
中鋒技術的細節
另一個技術性環節聚焦於禁區內的中鋒跑動。Lionel Messi 為阿根廷頭球扳平後,Fernando Lillo Aranda 詢問在 Lautaro Martínez 據稱已被盯防的情況下,這樣的進球如何發生,Fernando Llorente 隨即討論了前鋒進攻傳中的機制。
Llorente 表示,防守球員在正確時機施加的最細微身體接觸,也可能破壞前鋒完成射門的能力。
“When the strikers enter the area, what complicates your life the most is to have the defender already touching you and bothering you? If before the centre, to anything, you give a little touch to the striker, he is dead. When it happened to me playing, that is the worst thing they can do to you. You have to try to gain space so that the defender does not bother you, because if when you are jumping the minimum touch already makes it very difficult for you to finish.”
結合自己的球員生涯,Llorente 表示,他的身體條件常常有助於他在禁區內創造空間。即便如此,有經驗的後衛仍可在頭球或射門前,用一次時機精準的接觸阻止機會形成。
“I remember that when I was going to the shot, suddenly the side from the opposite side comes at you. I always tried to look for the back of the defenders. When the side comes on the other side that you do not see it and gives you a little touch before the shot, you were dead. There were sides that did it very well. Very smart people who bothered you at that moment and you have nothing to do.”
他也解釋了防守球員應如何在禁區內管理前鋒。
“When you are defending and the striker enters the area, do not focus only on the centre. Do not neglect. The striker is going to try to take your back and take advantage of that. You have to be touching him, grabbing, looking at the centre and the player who is going to score. Because a lot of people accumulate, one thinks it belongs to one defender, the other thinks it belongs to the other, and in the end the striker finishes without a mark.”
Llorente 表示,這一連串情況與阿根廷的扳平進球相似。當禁區內有多名球員且沒有明確分配盯防者時,Alexis Mac Allister 後插上進入禁區,儘管他並非場上最高的球員之一,卻完全無人盯防。
Van Dijk、Chiellini 與防守挑戰
在快問快答環節中,Fernando Lillo Aranda 問 Llorente,在本屆世界盃中他最不想面對哪名後衛。Llorente 立即點名 Virgil van Dijk,理由是他的力量和運動能力。
“When I went to the Premier League, I was very surprised by how strong all the defenders were, they were all big, even bigger than me, stronger. He seemed to me to be a barbarity. Not only how strong he was, how fast he was, because he’s very fast in the long run. He’s a very complete defender.”
隨後,Llorente 回憶起效力 Swansea 對陣 Southampton 時,第一次與 Van Dijk 交手的經歷。
“In my first game, I was at Swansea against him, and he was at Southampton. In the first clash that happened, he put his elbow in my ribs and fractured one of my ribs. I found out later. At that moment, I held on as best I could. He fell to the ground, I did my best, but the pain I was in was terrible. And then I played the next game, I scored my first goal against City, and I had to stop for a month because I couldn’t take the pain anymore.”
他表示,從西班牙足球轉到 Premier League 後,需要適應那裡的身體對抗強度;在西班牙,他認為身體接觸通常較容易應對。
“I told my teammates to shoot me from below, because from above it was complicated.”
Van Dijk 以身材、速度和力量突出,但 Llorente 表示,Giorgio Chiellini 因其持續不斷的盯防,帶來的是另一種問題。
“The first time I faced him was in an Italy-Spain, in a friendly. It was terrible. How does that mark you? Surely, that’s the most sticky one, the one that hits you the most. The other one is stronger, but he doesn’t hit you as much. Chiellini is exaggerated. He doesn’t let you breathe.”
Llorente 表示,他在 Juventus 與 Chiellini 做了兩個賽季隊友,並與 Leonardo Bonucci 和 Andrea Barzagli 並肩,這讓他直接體驗到義大利防守的高水準。
Rodri、Busquets 與西班牙中場標準
Gran Mussama 要求 Llorente 比較巔峰期的 Rodri 與巔峰期的 Sergio Busquets。Llorente 表示,直接比較對兩名球員都不公平。
“We can be talking about the two best midfielders in the world. At that time, we also not only had Busi, but Xabi Alonso, we had many options there, not just Busi. But Rodri is impressive. Unlike Busi, perhaps he has more travel, he is physically stronger. It is incredible how he is able to be everywhere. He also has the reliability in passes. I think he has more than 90% success in passes, which is incredible. I think he is the one with the most in the world.”
Llorente 表示,Rodri 恢復到最佳狀態已成為西班牙在本屆賽事中的最大優勢之一。
“Perhaps it is the great news of Spain. Seeing Rodri again at his best is one of the keys for me.”
在早前曾有傷病疑慮後,Rodri 表現提升,正好與西班牙在本屆賽事中最出色的幾場比賽同步出現。
Llorente 也讚揚 Mikel Oyarzabal,稱其具備技術能力和以團隊為先的態度。
“I am in love with how he plays, and more of how he plays, with his attitude. He is a boy who does not think about himself, he thinks only about the collective, about the team, about working. I love how he moves, how many times he goes down between the lines, helping the team to get out from behind. In the end, he gathers a lot of people in the centre of the field. The positions are rotated and that makes it very difficult for the defenders. Many times they do not know who to mark.”
Llorente 將 Oyarzabal 的跑動和西班牙的戰術彈性,連結到對現代足球更廣泛的觀察。
“Nowadays they work a lot on the tactical issue, they tell them more or less what to do in the field, more mechanical movements, and a little creativity is taken away from the player. In Spain, I see that they interpret the game very well. They let each one take out the best that he has, or his creativity inside the field.”
足球如何改變
Juan 問現代足球是否比 Llorente 球員時代更注重身體對抗,或是比賽整體水準提高,進而壓縮了個人技術的空間。
Llorente 表示,足球之所以改變,是因為備戰、體能訓練和細節管理變得更先進。
“The details are taken care of more and more. All the players already have nutritionists, their diets, their individualised work, which before was impossible. I remember when I started, we would go out to the field and we would start shooting without warming up, without doing anything. Today you already have a pre-activation in the gym, then you go out, you have another warm-up when you go out to the field. They take great care of the details.”
他表示,這些變化已經改變了這項運動。
“Football is evolving. The fact of taking care of the details also makes you train more and better. The players are better physically, they take better care of themselves, everything is much more professionalised. It is more physical, you run more and every time everyone goes further to the limit. That is clear. That is why there is also so much equality, despite the fact that there are better teams than others.”
回顧自己作為傳統中鋒的角色,Llorente 表示,能夠倚住長傳球並讓隊友參與進攻的強力中鋒,已變得較少見。
“Every time I see a long ball and there is a duel, normally the defenders win it. The one who plays from the back is a striker. It is complicated today to see a striker who, every time there is a long ball, keeps it and is able to give the team a way out from above.”
他補充說,現今許多頂級球會都試圖仿效 Barcelona 以控球為基礎、從後場組織進攻的模式。因此,他表示,許多進球如今來自組織階段的失誤,而不是更傳統的進攻連段。
預測、金靴討論與 Messi 的未來
座談最後由各位成員分享對世界盃決賽的預測。Llorente 已在 FIFA 平台提交西班牙 2-1 獲勝的預測。Miguel Serrano TV 預測西班牙將以謹慎的 1-0 獲勝,提到 Johannesburg 2010,並強調在足球最大舞台前管理期待的重要性。Juan 預測 3-1 獲勝,而 Gran Mussama 則預測如果西班牙早早進球,比分會是 4-0。Fernando Lillo Aranda 表示,如果該預測成真,他願意在 Gran Mussama 選擇的任何地方請他吃一份牛排。
Gran Mussama 後來將預測修正為西班牙 4-1,且 Lionel Messi 進球。
“Since he’s retiring as the best in history and didn’t play in the World Cup.”
該預測已記錄在案。
討論隨後轉向金靴獎競爭。Miguel Serrano TV 表示,Kylian Mbappé、Lionel Messi 和 Erling Haaland 各有八個進球。由於 Haaland 和 Mbappé 已被淘汰,Messi 是唯一仍具競爭資格的球員,因此成為該獎項熱門。Mikel Oyarzabal 有五個進球,必須在決賽上演帽子戲法才能追平。
座談成員表示,如果西班牙贏得世界盃,他們可以接受 Messi 贏得金靴,同時也承認 Oyarzabal 在決賽攻入三球的可能性不高。
Miguel 也談到圍繞阿根廷、裁判與社群媒體敘事的持續討論。他提到 Lionel Messi 在阿根廷於 2019 Copa América 準決賽出局後的言論,當時 Messi 批評腐敗和他認為有利於 Brazil 的裁判判罰;Miguel 表示,當前許多關於阿根廷的論點,呼應了 Messi 先前提出的擔憂。
Miguel 表示,足球歷史經常重演,而奪冠球隊不可避免會成為各種競爭性敘事的焦點。
談話最後討論 Messi 的未來,以及他再次參加 FIFA World Cup 的可能性。由於 Messi 預計在 2030 年將年滿 41 或 42 歲,座談成員普遍認為再踢一屆世界盃的可能性不高。Gran Mussama 表示 Major League Soccer 並未維持同樣的競爭強度,而 Juan 則認為,如果阿根廷贏下這場決賽,Messi 的傳奇地位已經完整。他表示 2028 Copa América 可能是更現實的國際賽目標。
Zoomex Space 的核心主題
在整場 Zoomex World Cup Edition X Space 中,足球分析反覆回到備戰、心態與執行。核心主題是,成功的球隊即使在壓力下也會堅持自己的計畫。
Llorente 指出,英格蘭對阿根廷的換人,是戰略因焦慮而非信心而改變的例子。他表示,英格蘭的戰術決策沒有維持控制,反而引來阿根廷持續施壓,並改變了場上傳遞給兩隊的訊息。
他將此與西班牙在對法國前的心態作對比。Llorente 描述,更衣室中充滿平靜的談話、玩笑和信心,儘管比賽意義重大。對他而言,這種氛圍反映出一支信任自身備戰的球隊。
他表示,無論比分如何,計畫都必須維持不變。無論是 1-0 領先還是 1-0 落後,西班牙的身份不應改變,因為重要工作早已透過備戰、訓練和有紀律的決策完成。
“You have to play a game like the one we played against France. We practically did not make mistakes. Because if you lose the ball in a field where they can catch you in some counterattack with spaces, they are still a dangerous team.”
Llorente 表示,有紀律的執行就是成功落實原定計畫。在壓力下偏離該計畫,可能會為阿根廷這樣的精英球隊創造機會。
這也讓座談中的慈善與預測環節,與足球討論形成敘事連結。比分預測是活動形式的一部分,但 Llorente 的分析始終回到同一項場上考驗:西班牙能否重現他在對法國一戰中讚揚的冷靜、控球與決策。
Gran Mussama 的 4-0 預測仍記錄在案,晚餐賭注也同樣如此。Llorente 對西班牙的預測也仍與慈善承諾相連;若他的預測正確,將有 5,000 USDT 指定用於 Venezuela 的人們。
關於 Zoomex
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該平台在多個司法管轄區維持註冊、牌照與監管狀態,包括 U.S. MSB、Canada MSB、U.S. NFA 和 Australia AUSTRAC。Zoomex 也已完成由區塊鏈安全公司 Hacken 進行的安全審計,並表示將透過 Proof of Reserves、Security & Transparency、Compliance Information 以及 Fees / Rules Transparency 等倡議,持續強化其信任框架。
除加密貨幣交易外,Zoomex 也透過頂級體育合作擴大全球品牌,包括 TGR Haas F1 Team、FIFA World Cup 冠軍門將 Emiliano Martínez,以及 Wimbledon 等世界級網球賽事。Zoomex 表示,速度、精準、紀律、公平競賽和基於規則的執行等價值,與該平台的衍生品交易方式高度一致。
Zoomex: Easy to Use. Transparent balance. Fair access to your earnings.
Media Contact: Contact: Catherine Company: Zoomex Address: 306 Victoria House, Victoria, Mahé, Seychelles Website: www.zoomex.com Email: [email protected]
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