Fernando Llorente 认为，西班牙在世界杯决赛中面对阿根廷的最大优势，正是英格兰在半决赛失利时放弃的那一点：控球。

他指出，最好的防守就是用控球来防守。当你掌握球权，你就能决定比赛节奏。英格兰在对阵阿根廷时以 1-0 领先后，退守到中线附近，摆出五名后卫和一名前锋体力透支的阵型。阿根廷在接下来的三十分钟里承受压力、观察局势、等待机会，并在机会出现时高效把握。Llorente 坚称，英格兰拥有足够的人员去作出不同选择。他说，西班牙不会重蹈覆辙。

这就是 Llorente 在世界杯决赛前夕传达的核心信息；他已正式预测西班牙将以 2-1 获胜。

Zoomex World Cup Edition X Space：第五集暨最终集

作为 Zoomex World Cup Impact Pledge 的一部分，Zoomex 举办了 World Cup Edition X Space 的第五集暨最终集，这是一个在 X 上进行的实时音频讨论形式。世界杯冠军 Fernando Llorente 与足球评论员 Juan、Gran Mussama 和 Miguel Serrano TV 共同参与讨论。Fernando Lillo Aranda 在波士顿主持本场活动，彼时距离世界杯决赛开赛只剩最后几个小时，外界期待不断升温。

本场活动也标志着贯穿该系列每一集的五部分慈善倡议正式结束。随着 Llorente 预测西班牙 2-1 取胜，承诺中的 1,000 USDT 将用于支持委内瑞拉受困人群——这一议题是 Llorente 的一位朋友近期向他提起的。如果预测成真，该分配金额将增加至 5,000 USDT。

西班牙的沉着：像与朋友踢球一样

Fernando Lillo Aranda 多次回到许多西班牙支持者关心的问题：这样一支年轻球队，如何在面对法国和阿根廷这样的对手时仍能保持如此镇定？

Llorente 在为 Dazón 和西班牙电视台报道本届赛事期间，曾在对阵法国前与西班牙队内成员交流。他们的描述与他随后在球场上看到的情况高度一致。

"Before the game they already told me that in the changing room they were calm, that they were talking about their things, jokes, stories and such. It surprises me, the attitude so relaxed they have before such an important game, and then how much they came out, because in that sense we were much more involved than the French in the game. They came out winning all the duels. It seemed to me that we were much more involved than them."

开球前，Llorente 原本预计西班牙会因法国前锋的速度和进攻质量而陷入苦战，其中包括 Mbappé、Olise、Dembélé 和 Barcola。他同样认为，法国的反击能力以及中场失误引发快速转换的风险，都是重大威胁。相反，西班牙通过掌控球权、剥夺法国所需的比赛节奏，化解了这些优势。在这种解读中，控球并不只是审美选择；它是西班牙面对擅长惩罚开放空间的对手时所采用的防守机制。

"These guys are surprising me. The ability they have to play these types of games in which there is so much pressure, they play as if they were playing with friends, with a naturalness, with a confidence that escapes me."

Llorente 称赞了 Rodri，后者在整个赛事中逐渐恢复到巅峰状态。他还把西班牙对法国的第二个进球形容为球队风格的代表：

"From the goal, defense, midfield, how they break the middle, Fabián, the pass, the wall of Porro. It was pure caviar."

他指出，西班牙不断轮换站位——后卫进入中场，中场球员前插到进攻区域，球员之间流畅交换角色，使对手无法确定稳定的防守盯防对象。

英格兰对阿根廷时做错了什么

本场讨论中最详细的战术部分，集中在英格兰前一晚输给阿根廷的比赛。

"I think that England made a mistake. In the end, you score a goal and you think that with that it is already done. And in the end what you cannot allow yourself is to get behind and let Argentina dominate you. They had players on the bench, an incredible squad to have done something different. Players who were still tired, I would have brought players up quickly. Having had players up quickly could have put Argentina in serious trouble. Saka, Rashford left too late, Madueke. Players who could have killed them on the counter, and yet they took out five defenders, 5-4-1, which in the end, apart from Harry Kane up there, who was already very tired, without a counter-attack exit."

Miguel Serrano TV 用比赛数据强化了这一分析。最后十五分钟，英格兰控球率只有百分之十二，而阿根廷掌控了百分之八十八的球权。最后十分钟，英格兰只完成了两次有效传球，其中一次来自门将 Jordan Pickford。

Miguel 认为，英格兰在比赛末段的防守换人向阿根廷传递了一个信息。那不是“我们正在保护领先优势”，而是“来进攻我吧，因为我就留在这里”。阿根廷也相应作出了回应。

Gran Mussama 将英格兰的做法与 Diego Simeone 的 Atlético Madrid 作比较：

"When he is winning, when he goes 1-0 with a very tight result, they fall back and the opposing team sees it. Either a guy with a good shot or someone scores a goal and they keep closing until he scores."

在 Gran Mussama 看来，退得更深只会邀请对手施加更多压力。

阿根廷的关键球员

在谈到阿根廷的优势时，Llorente 将 Lionel Messi、Enzo Fernández 和 Alexis Mac Allister 列为球队最具影响力的球员。谈及 Mac Allister 较少被外界充分强调的贡献时，他说：

"Enzo yesterday moved the team as he wanted, always seeing when Messi was alone, and at the last minute how he went to the right wing because there Messi was all the time alone, and from there they raised the whole play."

"The opportunities he had yesterday to score a goal was incredible. It is going to be a very complicated game because they have that ability to get out of trouble. If you give them the smallest minimum option to return to the game they are very dangerous."

Llorente 概述了西班牙在决赛中的优先事项：

"We do not have to get into their game. They have to leave with the same mentality they had against France. Being ready in the duels, reading where the balls can fall to get there before them. Keep dominating the game and not give them too many options. Don't make mistakes, that's the main thing in a final like this."

前锋的技艺：空间、触碰与防守干扰

本场活动还就禁区内前锋技术进行了相当细致的讨论，起因是 Lionel Messi 为阿根廷打入的头球扳平进球。Llorente 解释称，防守球员在恰当时机的最小身体接触，就足以完全打乱前锋完成射门的能力。

"When the strikers enter the area, what complicates your life the most is to have the defender already touching you and bothering you. If before the centre, to anything, you give a little touch to the striker, he is dead. When it happened to me playing, that is the worst thing they can do to you. You have to try to gain space so that the defender does not bother you, because if when you are jumping the minimum touch already makes it very difficult for you to finish."

结合自己的职业生涯，Llorente 描述了他的身体条件如何帮助他在禁区内创造空间，但经验丰富的后卫仍能在头球或射门前通过一次时机恰当的触碰化解机会。

"I remember that when I was going to the shot, suddenly the side from the opposite side comes at you. I always tried to look for the back of the defenders. When the side comes on the other side that you do not see it and gives you a little touch before the shot, you were dead. There were sides that did it very well. Very smart people who bothered you at that moment and you have nothing to do."

从防守者角度，Llorente 也就如何盯防前锋提出建议：

"When you are defending and the striker enters the area, do not focus only on the centre. Do not neglect. The striker is going to try to take your back and take advantage of that. You have to be touching him, grabbing, looking at the centre and the player who is going to score. Because a lot of people accumulate, one thinks it belongs to one defender, the other thinks it belongs to the other, and in the end the striker finishes without a mark."

据 Llorente 表示，这正是阿根廷扳平进球时发生的情况。禁区内有多名球员，却没有明确盯防对象，Alexis Mac Allister 后插上并在无人盯防的情况下获得机会，尽管他并不是场上最高的球员之一。

最难对付的后卫：Van Dijk 与 Chiellini

在快速问答环节，Llorente 被问到本届世界杯中哪名后卫是他最不想面对的。他立即提到了 Virgil van Dijk。

"When I went to the Premier League, I was very surprised by how strong all the defenders were, they were all big, even bigger than me, stronger. He seemed to me to be a barbarity. Not only how strong he was, how fast he was, because he's very fast in the long run. He's a very complete defender."

Llorente 回忆了自己效力 Swansea 对阵 Southampton 时首次面对 Van Dijk 的经历：

"In my first game, I was at Swansea against him, and he was at Southampton. In the first clash that happened, he put his elbow in my ribs and fractured one of my ribs. I found out later. At that moment, I held on as best I could. He fell to the ground, I did my best, but the pain I was in was terrible. And then I played the next game, I scored my first goal against City, and I had to stop for a month because I couldn't take the pain anymore."

他指出，从西班牙足球转到 Premier League 后，需要适应这里更强的身体对抗；在西班牙，身体接触通常更容易处理。他说：“I told my teammates to shoot me from below, because from above it was complicated.”

Llorente 表示，Giorgio Chiellini 带来的挑战则不同——不是单纯的运动能力，而是持续不断的身体盯防。

"The first time I faced him was in an Italy-Spain, in a friendly. It was terrible. How does that mark you? Surely, that's the most sticky one, the one that hits you the most. The other one is stronger, but he doesn't hit you as much. Chiellini is exaggerated. He doesn't let you breathe."

Llorente 在 Juventus 与 Chiellini 做了两个赛季队友，同时身边还有 Leonardo Bonucci 和 Andrea Barzagli，这让他亲身感受到意大利防守的顶级水准。

Rodri 还是 Busquets：一个不公平的比较

Gran Mussama 问 Llorente，巅峰 Rodri 与巅峰 Sergio Busquets 哪一个代表更高标准。

"We can be talking about the two best midfielders in the world. At that time, we also not only had Busi, but Xabi Alonso, we had many options there, not just Busi. But Rodri is impressive. Unlike Busi, perhaps he has more travel, he is physically stronger. It is incredible how he is able to be everywhere. He also has the reliability in passes. I think he has more than 90% success in passes, which is incredible. I think he is the one with the most in the world."

Llorente 强调，Rodri 恢复最佳状态是西班牙最大的优势之一：“Perhaps it is the great news of Spain. Seeing Rodri again at his best is one of the keys for me.”

Llorente 还称赞了 Mikel Oyarzabal 的技术能力和团队至上的心态：

"I am in love with how he plays, and more of how he plays, with his attitude. He is a boy who does not think about himself, he thinks only about the collective, about the team, about working. I love how he moves, how many times he goes down between the lines, helping the team to get out from behind. In the end, he gathers a lot of people in the centre of the field. The positions are rotated and that makes it very difficult for the defenders. Many times they do not know who to mark."

他将西班牙的战术灵活性与对现代足球的更广泛观察联系起来：

"Nowadays they work a lot on the tactical issue, they tell them more or less what to do in the field, more mechanical movements, and a little creativity is taken away from the player. In Spain, I see that they interpret the game very well. They let each one take out the best that he has, or his creativity inside the field."

足球如何演变

Juan 问道，现代足球是否变得更强调身体对抗，或者整体水平只是提高了，从而压缩了个人技术的发挥空间。

Llorente 将这项运动的演变归因于对准备、体能和细节的更高重视：

"The details are taken care of more and more. All the players already have nutritionists, their diets, their individualised work, which before was impossible. I remember when I started, we would go out to the field and we would start shooting without warming up, without doing anything. Today you already have a pre-activation in the gym, then you go out, you have another warm-up when you go out to the field. They take great care of the details."

"Football is evolving. The fact of taking care of the details also makes you train more and better. The players are better physically, they take better care of themselves, everything is much more professionalised. It is more physical, you run more and every time everyone goes further to the limit. That is clear. That is why there is also so much equality, despite the fact that there are better teams than others."

回顾自己作为传统中锋的风格，Llorente 承认，那种能够依靠身体优势争下长传并把队友带入进攻的前锋，如今已越来越少见。

"Every time I see a long ball and there is a duel, normally the defenders win it. The one who plays from the back is a striker. It is complicated today to see a striker who, every time there is a long ball, keeps it and is able to give the team a way out from above."

他指出，如今许多顶级俱乐部都在模仿 Barcelona 基于控球的后场组织方式，很多现代足球进球也来自组织阶段的失误，而不是传统进攻推进。这使西班牙与阿根廷的对决尤其具有战术意味：帮助球队控制比赛的同一套后场组织模式，如果在阿根廷能够迅速转换的区域丢球，也可能成为高风险时刻。

嘉宾预测与金靴之争

讨论最后，嘉宾们给出了各自对世界杯决赛的预测：

• Fernando Llorente： 西班牙 2-1（已提交至 FIFA 平台）
• Miguel Serrano TV： 西班牙 1-0，参考 Johannesburg 2010
• Juan： 西班牙 3-1
• Gran Mussama： 若西班牙早早进球，最初预测西班牙 4-0，随后改为西班牙 4-1，Lionel Messi 进球

Fernando Lillo Aranda 表示，如果 4-0 的预测成真，他愿意在 Gran Mussama 选择的任何地方请他吃牛排。Gran Mussama 后来把预测改为 4-1，并认为 Messi 会进球，他解释称：“Since he's retiring as the best in history and didn't play in the World Cup.”

关于金靴争夺，Miguel Serrano TV 列出了排名情况：Kylian Mbappé、Lionel Messi 和 Erling Haaland 都打入 8 球。随着 Haaland 和 Mbappé 已被淘汰，只剩 Messi 仍有竞争资格。Mikel Oyarzabal 打入 5 球，需要在决赛上演帽子戏法才能追平。嘉宾们一致表示，如果西班牙赢得世界杯，他们可以接受 Messi 获得金靴。

Miguel 还谈到了围绕阿根廷、裁判以及社交媒体叙事的讨论。他提到 Lionel Messi 在 Argentina 于 2019 Copa América 半决赛出局后的评论，当时 Messi 批评腐败以及他认为有利于巴西的判罚。Miguel 观察到，当前的争论与这些担忧相互呼应，而夺冠球队不可避免会成为不同叙事交锋的对象。

谈话最后讨论了 Messi 的未来，以及再次参加 FIFA World Cup 的可能性。到 2030 年，Messi 预计将年满 41 或 42 岁，嘉宾们普遍认为他再次参加世界杯的可能性不大。Gran Mussama 认为 Major League Soccer 没有保持同样的竞技强度，而 Juan 则表示，如果阿根廷赢下这场决赛，Messi 的历史地位将已经完整——2028 Copa América 可能是更现实的国际赛目标。

核心启示

贯穿整场讨论的一个主题是：成功的球队即使在压力之下，也会坚持自己的计划。Llorente 将英格兰对阿根廷时的换人视为一个例子，说明策略是因焦虑而非信心发生改变。英格兰的战术选择邀请了阿根廷持续施压，也改变了场上传递给两队的信息。

相比之下，Llorente 描述西班牙对法国赛前的更衣室充满平静交谈、玩笑和信心。无论比分如何，计划仍然是计划。

"You have to play a game like the one we played against France. We practically did not make mistakes. Because if you lose the ball in a field where they can catch you in some counterattack with spaces, they are still a dangerous team."

Llorente 总结称，有纪律的执行，就是把原有计划成功落实。任何在压力下偏离计划的行为，都会制造机会，而阿根廷这样的顶级球队完全有能力加以利用。

关于 Zoomex

Zoomex 成立于 2021 年，是一家专注于衍生品交易的全球加密货币交易平台。该平台服务覆盖 35 多个国家和地区的 300 多万用户，提供超过 590 个交易对。Zoomex 运营高性能撮合引擎，并提供透明的资产展示、订单信息、费率结构和交易规则。

该平台在多个司法管辖区持有注册、许可和监管状态，包括 U.S. MSB、Canada MSB、U.S. NFA 和 Australia AUSTRAC。Zoomex 已完成由区块链安全公司 Hacken 进行的安全审计，并持续通过 Proof of Reserves、Security & Transparency、Compliance Information 和 Fees / Rules Transparency 等举措加强其信任框架。

除加密货币交易外，Zoomex 还通过与精英体育领域的合作扩大其全球品牌，包括 TGR Haas F1 Team、FIFA World Cup 冠军门将 Emiliano Martínez，以及 Wimbledon 等世界级网球赛事。X Space 系列通过将足球讨论与赛事相关慈善承诺相结合，契合其更广泛的体育营销战略。

来源：Metaverse Post