Bitcoin struggles to regain ground: crypto investors are in for a turbulent September
Ключевые выводы
- •On September 18, 2026, Bitcoin traded near $77,397.83, gaining about 1.35% over the day, but still almost 40% below its October 2025 record high of $126,198.
- •The September rally to $81,166.73 reversed after unexpectedly strong US labor market data sparked fears of a further tightening of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
- •Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $730.8 million in inflows on September 3, but soon registered net outflows exceeding $236 million, largely due to redemptions from BlackRock's IBIT.
- •According to Binance, there is approximately $3.00 billion in long liquidation volume below the Bitcoin price and about $1.80 billion in short liquidation volume above it, creating conditions for a cascade of forced selling in the event of any dip.
- •The drawdown of almost 50% from October highs proved milder than the 75%–90% crashes of 2014, 2018, and 2022, which some analysts view as a sign of market maturation.

As of September 18, 2026, Bitcoin was trading near $77,397.83, gaining about 1.35% over the day, according to Binance, the world's largest digital asset exchange. Despite this modest daily gain, the asset remains well below the record high of $126,198 set in October 2025 — a decline of almost 40%. This brutal pullback has changed the situation across the entire crypto industry this year.
Ethereum was trading near $2,489.62 as of September 18. Cardano, another widely held proof-of-stake asset, was around $0.2141447. Checking the Cardano price in USD on Binance this week showed that the token was virtually flat during the day, but remains significantly below its levels from the beginning of the year.
A Month Without a Breakout
Bitcoin has yet to break out of its recent trading range: according to Yahoo Finance, the price fluctuated roughly between $77,057 and $82,656. In early September, the cryptocurrency rose to $81,166.73, but then pulled back after unexpectedly strong US labor market data sparked concerns that the Federal Reserve will continue tightening monetary policy, according to CoinStats data as of September 8, 2026.
This pullback demonstrated how sensitive digital assets remain to routine macroeconomic news. In the session when the two-year Treasury yield hit a 52-week high and oil prices surged, Bitcoin lost about 1.7% — despite maintaining a positive weekly result. Most of the liquidations during this move occurred on long positions, meaning traders betting with leverage suffered losses. This was not a mass panic, but rather a case where bullish investors were caught off guard.
ETF Flows Amplify Volatility
Exchange-traded fund flows have added another layer of turbulence. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, approved by US regulators in January 2024 and allowing traditional brokerage investors to hold bitcoin without using crypto exchanges, have made institutional positioning unusually visible — their daily flow reports are now widely regarded as an indicator of professional demand. On September 3, these funds recorded inflows of approximately $730.8 million, but reports released shortly thereafter showed net outflows exceeding $236 million, according to Binance, mainly due to redemptions from BlackRock's IBIT. Together, these figures paint a picture of a market where institutional investors are rapidly switching between bullish and bearish positions.
Pressure on Investors
For anyone who bought Bitcoin near its 2025 highs, this year has become a real lesson in risk management. According to Yahoo Finance, Bitcoin fell almost 50% from its October peak before finding a bottom in early 2026. Bernstein analysts pointed out that despite the severity of this decline, it was not as catastrophic as the 75%–90% crashes in 2014, 2018, and 2022. Some analysts, according to CoinGecko, view the comparatively smaller drop as evidence that the industry is maturing, even though it continues to experience wild swings.
The pain is not limited to Bitcoin. Altcoins like Cardano are also under pressure, and technical indicators, according to DappRadar, indicate that selling continues in longer timeframes, even during short stabilization periods. Investors holding a diversified cryptocurrency portfolio are observing losses across the board — in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, and mid-cap tokens — and cannot find shelter by moving from one asset to another.
Leverage has become a key issue as the month comes to an end. According to Binance, Bitcoin has approximately $3.00 billion in long liquid volume below the current price and about $1.80 billion in short liquidation volume above it. This imbalance means that even a minor dip in Bitcoin could trigger a chain reaction of forced selling, pushing prices down further and making volatility more pronounced than spot trading alone would suggest.
Mixed Signals from Seasonality
Despite all the turbulence, seasonal data looks mixed. According to a study by BeInCrypto, Bitcoin closed higher in the last three Septembers, which has somewhat undermined its usual reputation as a weak month. At the same time, on-chain metrics tracking long-term holders were negative for most of August but turned positive on August 31, which may indicate that established holders are slowing down their sales.
The main conclusion is not about finding the perfect price target, but about managing position sizes. Traders using high leverage have been hit hardest by September's sharp swings, whereas holders of spot positions have incurred smaller actual losses, even if the volatility on paper looks just as severe.
September as a Reminder
September 2026 has shown that the crypto market is still driven by rapidly changing sentiment tied to economic news, ETF flows, and leverage. The same data points that shaped the course of this month — upcoming US economic releases, daily ETF flow reports, and large liquidation volumes clustered on both sides of Bitcoin's price — will remain the focus of market observers in the coming quarter. With Bitcoin still well below last year's highs and Cardano showing similar pressure, investors are once again facing the fact that returns in digital assets can fluctuate sharply in both directions, often with little warning. This month, risk management is as important as correctly timing entries and exits.
Author: Pam Brown
Pam Brown is a journalist with outstanding analytical skills and a deep interest in modern financial systems. She specializes in translating complex topics such as cryptocurrencies, lending, and forex into clear and accessible language. Her precise, research-based writing style has earned her recognition in the financial and fintech spheres.